Georgia Southern at Clemson—

ST Model Clemson -22.3

Trends · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Georgia Southern — the basics

150 graded games since 2014

on the road	33-40	45%	-1.8	n=73
out of conference	32-24	57%	+1.5	n=56
vs an FBS opponent	72-64	53%	+1.2	n=136
vs a P5 opponent	14-11	56%	+1.0	n=25
in September	28-17	62%	+2.4	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	33-30	52%	-0.6	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Georgia Southern — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -2.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 150 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=150
Georgia Southern has covered 2 straight	n=2

Georgia Southern — combinations

13 lean Georgia Southern · 27 lean against

Read this first. 56 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + in September	20-12	63%from 53%	+3.4	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 63%	+2.5	n=16
out of conference + in September	19-14	58%from 57%	+2.0	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 58%	+0.8	n=17
in September + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 62%	+1.7	n=21
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	25-19	57%from 57%	+2.1	n=44
+ in September	12-9	57%from 57%	+3.4	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 57%	+1.5	n=12
+ vs a P5 opponent	14-11	56%from 57%	+1.0	n=25
+ in September	6-6	50%from 56%	+3.0	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	+0.5	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 57%	-1.7	n=19
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	14-11	56%from 57%	+1.0	n=25
+ in September	6-6	50%from 56%	+3.0	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 50%	0.0	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	+0.5	n=6
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	14-11	56%from 53%	+1.0	n=25
+ in September	6-6	50%from 56%	+3.0	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 50%	0.0	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	+0.5	n=6
on the road + in September	12-10	55%from 45%	+2.8	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 55%	+1.4	n=11
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	30-28	52%from 53%	-0.6	n=58
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	12-12	50%from 57%	-1.5	n=24
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	10-10	50%from 45%	-0.8	n=20
+ in September	5-6	45%from 50%	+1.4	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 45%	0.0	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 50%	0.0	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Clemson — the basics

159 graded games since 2014

at home	38-41	48%	-0.4	n=79
out of conference	25-32	44%	+0.1	n=57
vs an FBS opponent	81-67	55%	+1.4	n=148
vs a G5 opponent	8-13	38%	-0.6	n=21
vs the Sun Belt	2-4	33%	-3.7	n=6
in September	18-24	43%	-2.3	n=42
at this venue	38-41	48%	-0.4	n=79
in the last 5 seasons	29-38	43%	-2.7	n=67

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Clemson — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -2.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 159 graded games: +1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=159

Clemson — combinations

9 lean Clemson · 111 lean against

Read this first. 135 combinations shown. The best one here is 56%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs an FBS opponent	35-33	51%from 48%	-0.3	n=68
+ at this venue	35-33	51%from 51%	-0.3	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-16	45%from 51%	-2.7	n=29
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-5	50%from 51%	-0.3	n=10
+ in September	5-4	56%from 50%	+1.0	n=9
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 50%	-0.3	n=10
+ vs the Sun Belt	2-4	33%from 50%	-3.7	n=6
+ in September	9-10	47%from 51%	-3.3	n=19
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 47%	-3.3	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 47%	-4.2	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-16	45%from 51%	-2.7	n=29
+ vs the Sun Belt	2-4	33%from 51%	-3.7	n=6
+ in September	2-3	40%from 33%	-2.0	n=5
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 33%	-3.7	n=6
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	35-33	51%from 55%	-0.3	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-16	45%from 51%	-2.7	n=29
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	5-5	50%from 55%	-0.3	n=10
+ in September	5-4	56%from 50%	+1.0	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.0	n=9
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 50%	-0.3	n=10
+ vs the Sun Belt	2-4	33%from 50%	-3.7	n=6
+ in September	2-3	40%from 33%	-2.0	n=5
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 33%	-3.7	n=6
at home + at this venue	38-41	48%from 48%	-0.4	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-21	38%from 48%	-3.7	n=34

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.