Wake Forest at Purdue—

ST Model Wake Forest -6.9

Trends · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Wake Forest — the basics

142 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-30	52%	+1.6	n=62
out of conference	25-22	53%	+1.0	n=47
vs an FBS opponent	70-63	53%	+1.1	n=133
vs a P5 opponent	64-53	55%	+1.2	n=117
vs the Big Ten	2-3	40%	+2.4	n=5
in September	20-19	51%	+1.1	n=39
in the last 5 seasons	31-30	51%	+0.3	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Wake Forest — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +7.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 142 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=142

Wake Forest — combinations

36 lean Wake Forest · 12 lean against

Read this first. 58 combinations shown. The best one here is 89%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + out of conference	9-5	64%from 52%	+1.6	n=14
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-1	89%from 64%	+5.6	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 89%	+5.4	n=5
+ in September	4-2	67%from 64%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 64%	+2.7	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	9-5	64%from 64%	+1.6	n=14
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-1	89%from 64%	+5.6	n=9
+ in September	4-2	67%from 64%	+0.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 64%	+2.7	n=6
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	14-8	64%from 53%	+1.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 64%	+4.8	n=12
+ in September	5-4	56%from 64%	-3.2	n=9
+ vs the Big Ten	2-3	40%from 64%	+2.4	n=5
on the road + in September	8-5	62%from 52%	+5.3	n=13
vs a P5 opponent + in September	14-10	58%from 55%	+2.3	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 58%	+1.6	n=10
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 53%	+1.4	n=21
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	64-53	55%from 53%	+1.2	n=117
+ in September	14-10	58%from 55%	+2.3	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 58%	+1.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-24	54%from 55%	+0.9	n=52
+ vs the Big Ten	2-3	40%from 55%	+2.4	n=5
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	31-26	54%from 52%	+2.2	n=57
+ in September	7-3	70%from 54%	+8.2	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-12	52%from 54%	+0.9	n=25

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Purdue — the basics

138 graded games since 2014

at home	28-47	37%	-3.1	n=75
out of conference	18-19	49%	-2.1	n=37
vs an FBS opponent	59-73	45%	-2.1	n=132
vs a P5 opponent	56-65	46%	-1.7	n=121
vs the ACC	3-3	50%	+2.3	n=6
in September	18-23	44%	-0.5	n=41
at this venue	28-47	37%	-3.1	n=75
in the last 5 seasons	24-38	39%	-3.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Purdue — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -6.3 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 138 graded games: -1.5 pts vs their number per game	n=138
Purdue has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Purdue — combinations

5 lean Purdue · 75 lean against

Read this first. 111 combinations shown. The best one here is 53%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + out of conference	12-11	52%from 37%	-2.0	n=23
+ at this venue	12-11	52%from 52%	-2.0	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	-4.8	n=9
+ vs a P5 opponent	4-4	50%from 52%	-8.3	n=8
+ in September	4-4	50%from 50%	-8.3	n=8
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 50%	-8.3	n=8
+ in September	10-11	48%from 52%	-3.5	n=21
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 48%	-3.5	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 48%	-10.2	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	-4.8	n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent	7-10	41%from 52%	-6.5	n=17
+ vs a P5 opponent	4-4	50%from 41%	-8.3	n=8
+ at this venue	7-10	41%from 41%	-6.5	n=17
+ in September	6-10	38%from 41%	-7.8	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 41%	-12.3	n=6
out of conference + at this venue	12-11	52%from 49%	-2.0	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	-4.8	n=9
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	10-10	50%from 49%	-3.7	n=20
+ in September	9-8	53%from 50%	+0.1	n=17
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 53%	-8.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 53%	-7.3	n=9
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 50%	-8.3	n=8
+ vs the ACC	3-3	50%from 50%	+2.3	n=6
+ in September	3-3	50%from 50%	+2.3	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 50%	-8.7	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.