Syracuse at Pittsburgh

ST Model Pittsburgh -13.4
Trends · 2026 week 3
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Syracuse — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
on the road33-2854%+0.3n=61
vs Pittsburgh4-736%-2.8n=11
in a conference game48-4949%-0.4n=97
vs an FBS opponent65-6749%-0.6n=132
vs a P5 opponent57-6148%-1.0n=118
vs the ACC47-4949%-0.5n=96
in September25-1760%+4.6n=42
at this venue2-433%-6.1n=6
in the last 5 seasons30-3149%-1.3n=61
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Syracuse — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -6.3 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 141 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per gamen=141
Syracuse has failed to cover 2 straightn=2
Syracuse — combinations
32 lean Syracuse · 131 lean against
Read this first. 172 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + in September10-283%from 54%+10.5n=12
in September + in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 60%+6.6n=18
vs an FBS opponent + in September21-1460%from 49%+4.4n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons9-564%from 60%+5.4n=14
vs a P5 opponent + in September15-1158%from 48%+2.6n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons7-558%from 58%+3.1n=12
in a conference game + in September9-756%from 49%+4.7n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons3-443%from 56%+1.3n=7
vs the ACC + in September9-756%from 49%+4.7n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons3-443%from 56%+1.3n=7
on the road + vs an FBS opponent33-2854%from 54%+0.3n=61
+ in September10-283%from 54%+10.5n=12
+ vs a P5 opponent28-2751%from 54%-0.8n=55
+ in September7-278%from 51%+6.8n=9
+ vs the ACC23-2548%from 51%-0.6n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1343%from 51%-3.6n=23
+ at this venue2-433%from 51%-6.1n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons12-1348%from 54%-2.1n=25
+ vs the ACC23-2548%from 54%-0.6n=48
+ in September4-180%from 48%+13.2n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons8-1240%from 48%-4.1n=20
+ at this venue2-433%from 48%-6.1n=6
+ at this venue2-433%from 54%-6.1n=6
on the road + vs a P5 opponent28-2751%from 54%-0.8n=55
+ in September7-278%from 51%+6.8n=9
+ vs the ACC23-2548%from 51%-0.6n=48
+ in September4-180%from 48%+13.2n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons8-1240%from 48%-4.1n=20
+ at this venue2-433%from 48%-6.1n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1343%from 51%-3.6n=23
+ at this venue2-433%from 51%-6.1n=6
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.