Virginia Tech at Maryland

ST Model Maryland -2.4
Trends · 2026 week 3
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Virginia Tech — the basics
150 graded games since 2014
on the road27-3643%+0.3n=63
out of conference19-3337%-4.7n=52
vs an FBS opponent63-7944%-0.3n=142
vs a P5 opponent54-6745%+0.2n=121
vs the Big Ten2-625%-3.4n=8
in September19-2543%-1.7n=44
in the last 5 seasons26-3642%-1.3n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Virginia Tech — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -6.5 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 150 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per gamen=150
Virginia Tech — combinations
8 lean Virginia Tech · 58 lean against
Read this first. 75 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + in September8-657%from 43%+4.8n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons3-443%from 57%+0.4n=7
vs a P5 opponent + in September11-1052%from 45%+3.4n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons4-640%from 52%-2.5n=10
on the road + out of conference7-750%from 43%+0.2n=14
+ vs a P5 opponent5-363%from 50%+5.6n=8
+ vs an FBS opponent7-750%from 50%+0.2n=14
+ vs a P5 opponent5-363%from 50%+5.6n=8
+ in September4-640%from 50%-1.1n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons2-529%from 50%-4.5n=7
+ in September4-640%from 50%-1.1n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons1-420%from 40%-4.6n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons2-529%from 50%-4.5n=7
vs an FBS opponent + in September17-2145%from 44%-0.8n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons7-1041%from 45%-3.4n=17
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent54-6745%from 44%+0.2n=121
+ in September11-1052%from 45%+3.4n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons4-640%from 52%-2.5n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2943%from 45%-0.3n=51
+ vs the Big Ten2-625%from 45%-3.4n=8
+ in September2-433%from 25%+2.8n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons0-50%from 25%-14.1n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons26-3344%from 44%-0.7n=59
on the road + vs a P5 opponent25-3244%from 43%+1.1n=57
+ in September6-275%from 44%+13.6n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1442%from 44%+0.4n=24
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.