Virginia Tech at Boston College—

ST Model Virginia Tech -0.5

Trends · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Virginia Tech — the basics

150 graded games since 2014

on the road	27-36	43%	+0.3	n=63
vs Boston College	6-5	55%	+6.8	n=11
in a conference game	47-51	48%	+1.4	n=98
vs an FBS opponent	63-79	44%	-0.3	n=142
vs a P5 opponent	54-67	45%	+0.2	n=121
vs the ACC	47-50	48%	+1.5	n=97
in September	19-25	43%	-1.7	n=44
at this venue	2-3	40%	+1.7	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	26-36	42%	-1.3	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Virginia Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -6.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 150 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=150

Virginia Tech — combinations

42 lean Virginia Tech · 98 lean against

Read this first. 149 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in September	8-2	80%from 48%	+11.4	n=10
vs the ACC + in September	8-2	80%from 48%	+11.4	n=10
on the road + in September	8-6	57%from 43%	+4.8	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 57%	+0.4	n=7
vs Boston College + in a conference game	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs the ACC	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs the ACC	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
vs Boston College + vs an FBS opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs the ACC	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
vs Boston College + vs a P5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ vs the ACC	6-5	55%from 55%	+6.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+1.7	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Boston College — the basics

143 graded games since 2014

at home	35-39	47%	-0.6	n=74
vs Virginia Tech	5-6	45%	-6.8	n=11
in a conference game	51-44	54%	+0.7	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	69-65	51%	-0.1	n=134
vs a P5 opponent	62-57	52%	-0.2	n=119
vs the ACC	51-43	54%	+0.7	n=94
in September	19-26	42%	-2.3	n=45
at this venue	35-39	47%	-0.6	n=74
in the last 5 seasons	29-32	48%	-1.1	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Boston College — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 143 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=143
Boston College has covered 2 straight	n=2

Boston College — combinations

72 lean Boston College · 108 lean against

Read this first. 200 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 72% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs Virginia Tech	3-2	60%from 47%	-1.7	n=5
+ in a conference game	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.7	n=5
vs Virginia Tech + at this venue	3-2	60%from 45%	-1.7	n=5
in a conference game + vs the ACC	51-43	54%from 54%	+0.7	n=94
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	-1.7	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 51%	-2.0	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-20	49%from 54%	-1.4	n=39
+ in September	6-9	40%from 54%	-4.6	n=15
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 40%	-4.2	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 40%	-2.8	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs the ACC	51-43	54%from 51%	+0.7	n=94
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	-1.7	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 51%	-2.0	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-20	49%from 54%	-1.4	n=39
+ in September	6-9	40%from 54%	-4.6	n=15
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 40%	-4.2	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 40%	-2.8	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.