How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Syracuse — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 33-28 | 54% | +0.3 | n=61 |
| out of conference | 22-22 | 50% | -0.3 | n=44 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 65-67 | 49% | -0.6 | n=132 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 57-61 | 48% | -1.0 | n=118 |
| vs the FBS Independents | 4-7 | 36% | -5.0 | n=11 |
| in October | 22-21 | 51% | -1.0 | n=43 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 30-31 | 49% | -1.3 | n=61 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Syracuse — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -6.3 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 141 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game | n=141 |
| Syracuse has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Syracuse — combinations
20 lean Syracuse · 29 lean against
Read this first. 61 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + out of conference | 9-3 | 75%from 54% | +3.2 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 75% | +5.8 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 9-3 | 75%from 75% | +3.2 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 75% | +5.8 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 75% | -4.4 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 75% | -4.4 | n=6 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 51% | -3.3 | n=19 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 12-9 | 57%from 50% | +1.2 | n=21 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 33-28 | 54%from 54% | +0.3 | n=61 |
| + in October | 12-11 | 52%from 54% | -2.0 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 52% | -5.5 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 28-27 | 51%from 54% | -0.8 | n=55 |
| + in October | 11-10 | 52%from 51% | -1.8 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-13 | 43%from 51% | -3.6 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-13 | 48%from 54% | -2.1 | n=25 |
| on the road + in October | 12-11 | 52%from 54% | -2.0 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 52% | -5.5 | n=11 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 28-27 | 51%from 54% | -0.8 | n=55 |
| + in October | 11-10 | 52%from 51% | -1.8 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 52% | -6.9 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-13 | 43%from 51% | -3.6 | n=23 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in October | 21-21 | 50%from 49% | -1.1 | n=42 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 50% | -3.8 | n=18 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in October | 20-20 | 50%from 48% | -1.0 | n=40 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-8 | 53%from 50% | -4.5 | n=17 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.