Duke at Georgia Tech—

ST Model Georgia Tech -6.2

Trends · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Duke — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-32	49%	+1.4	n=63
vs Georgia Tech	6-3	67%	+4.8	n=9
in a conference game	44-49	47%	-2.8	n=93
vs an FBS opponent	72-63	53%	-0.1	n=135
vs a P5 opponent	63-60	51%	-1.4	n=123
vs the ACC	44-49	47%	-2.8	n=93
in October	19-18	51%	-0.3	n=37
at this venue	3-2	60%	+0.3	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%	+1.4	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Duke — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=146
Duke has covered 3 straight	n=3

Duke — combinations

104 lean Duke · 62 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Georgia Tech + in a conference game	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ vs the ACC	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ vs the ACC	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5
+ vs the ACC	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5
vs Georgia Tech + vs an FBS opponent	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ vs the ACC	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5
+ vs the ACC	6-3	67%from 67%	+4.8	n=9
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5
+ in October	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.5	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.3	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Georgia Tech — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	31-39	44%	-2.4	n=70
vs Duke	3-6	33%	-4.8	n=9
in a conference game	47-47	50%	+0.8	n=94
vs an FBS opponent	67-67	50%	+0.4	n=134
vs a P5 opponent	59-59	50%	+0.8	n=118
vs the ACC	46-46	50%	+1.2	n=92
in October	20-20	50%	+1.2	n=40
at this venue	31-39	44%	-2.4	n=70
in the last 5 seasons	31-31	50%	+0.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Georgia Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=141

Georgia Tech — combinations

7 lean Georgia Tech · 158 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 51%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the ACC + in the last 5 seasons	20-19	51%from 50%	+2.0	n=39
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	59-59	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=118
+ vs the ACC	46-46	50%from 50%	+1.2	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-19	51%from 50%	+2.0	n=39
+ in October	18-19	49%from 50%	+1.2	n=37
+ at this venue	20-23	47%from 50%	-1.9	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-26	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=52
+ in October	19-20	49%from 50%	+1.1	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-9	47%from 49%	+0.7	n=17
+ at this venue	9-12	43%from 49%	-4.4	n=21
+ at this venue	23-28	45%from 50%	-2.2	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 45%	-5.1	n=18
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	47-47	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=94
+ vs a P5 opponent	47-47	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=94
+ vs the ACC	46-46	50%from 50%	+1.2	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-20	50%from 50%	+1.0	n=40
+ in October	19-19	50%from 50%	+1.3	n=38
+ at this venue	21-23	48%from 50%	-1.8	n=44
+ vs the ACC	46-46	50%from 50%	+1.2	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-19	51%from 50%	+2.0	n=39
+ in October	18-19	49%from 50%	+1.2	n=37
+ at this venue	20-23	47%from 50%	-1.9	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-20	50%from 50%	+1.0	n=40
+ in October	19-19	50%from 50%	+1.3	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 50%	+1.0	n=16
+ at this venue	9-12	43%from 50%	-4.4	n=21
+ at this venue	21-23	48%from 50%	-1.8	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 48%	-4.9	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.