Wake Forest at California

ST Model Wake Forest -1.3
Trends · 2026 week 7
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Wake Forest — the basics
142 graded games since 2014
on the road32-3052%+1.6n=62
in a conference game50-4553%+1.1n=95
vs an FBS opponent70-6353%+1.1n=133
vs a P5 opponent64-5355%+1.2n=117
vs the ACC51-4553%+1.1n=96
in October26-1662%+2.6n=42
in the last 5 seasons31-3051%+0.3n=61
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Wake Forest — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +7.8 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 142 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per gamen=142
Wake Forest — combinations
60 lean Wake Forest · 29 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
in October + in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 62%+4.4n=18
vs an FBS opponent + in October25-1661%from 53%+2.2n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 61%+4.4n=18
vs a P5 opponent + in October25-1661%from 55%+2.2n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 61%+4.4n=18
on the road + in October12-860%from 52%+2.7n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons7-370%from 60%+4.0n=10
in a conference game + in October21-1558%from 53%+1.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons8-657%from 58%+1.8n=14
vs the ACC + in October21-1558%from 53%+1.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons8-657%from 58%+1.8n=14
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent64-5355%from 53%+1.2n=117
+ in October25-1661%from 55%+2.2n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons12-667%from 61%+4.4n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons28-2454%from 55%+0.9n=52
+ vs the ACC51-4553%from 55%+1.1n=96
+ in October21-1558%from 53%+1.4n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons19-2148%from 53%-0.3n=40
on the road + vs a P5 opponent31-2654%from 52%+2.2n=57
+ in October12-860%from 54%+2.7n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons7-370%from 60%+4.0n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons13-1252%from 54%+0.9n=25
+ vs the ACC23-2548%from 54%+1.6n=48
+ in October9-853%from 48%+1.1n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 48%-0.3n=20
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.