Syracuse at North Carolina—

ST Model North Carolina -7.7

Trends · 2026 week 8

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Syracuse — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

on the road	33-28	54%	+0.3	n=61
in a conference game	48-49	49%	-0.4	n=97
vs an FBS opponent	65-67	49%	-0.6	n=132
vs a P5 opponent	57-61	48%	-1.0	n=118
vs the ACC	47-49	49%	-0.5	n=96
in October	22-21	51%	-1.0	n=43
in the last 5 seasons	30-31	49%	-1.3	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Syracuse — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -6.3 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Syracuse has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Syracuse — combinations

38 lean Syracuse · 47 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 58%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 51%	-3.3	n=19
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	33-28	54%from 54%	+0.3	n=61
+ in October	12-11	52%from 54%	-2.0	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	-5.5	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	28-27	51%from 54%	-0.8	n=55
+ in October	11-10	52%from 51%	-1.8	n=21
+ vs the ACC	23-25	48%from 51%	-0.6	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-13	43%from 51%	-3.6	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-13	48%from 54%	-2.1	n=25
+ vs the ACC	23-25	48%from 54%	-0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-10	52%from 48%	-1.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 48%	-4.1	n=20
in a conference game + in October	20-17	54%from 49%	-0.1	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 54%	-3.8	n=16
vs the ACC + in October	20-17	54%from 49%	-0.1	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 54%	-3.8	n=16
on the road + in October	12-11	52%from 54%	-2.0	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	-5.5	n=11
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	28-27	51%from 54%	-0.8	n=55
+ in October	11-10	52%from 51%	-1.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 52%	-6.9	n=10
+ vs the ACC	23-25	48%from 51%	-0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-10	52%from 48%	-1.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 48%	-4.1	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-13	43%from 51%	-3.6	n=23

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

North Carolina — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

at home	33-39	46%	-1.2	n=72
in a conference game	47-52	47%	-0.3	n=99
vs an FBS opponent	62-74	46%	-1.3	n=136
vs a P5 opponent	55-66	45%	-1.0	n=121
vs the ACC	47-51	48%	-0.2	n=98
in October	25-18	58%	+1.4	n=43
at this venue	33-39	46%	-1.2	n=72
in the last 5 seasons	24-38	39%	-3.9	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

North Carolina — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -5.3 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: -1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=146
North Carolina has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

North Carolina — combinations

52 lean North Carolina · 73 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 55% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the ACC + in October	24-16	60%from 48%	+1.7	n=40
+ at this venue	12-9	57%from 60%	+0.6	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 57%	+0.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 60%	+2.5	n=18
in a conference game + in October	24-17	59%from 47%	+1.5	n=41
+ at this venue	12-9	57%from 59%	+0.6	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 57%	+0.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 59%	+2.0	n=19
vs an FBS opponent + in October	25-18	58%from 46%	+1.4	n=43
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 58%	+0.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 55%	+0.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 58%	+2.0	n=19
vs a P5 opponent + in October	25-18	58%from 45%	+1.4	n=43
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 58%	+0.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 55%	+0.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 58%	+2.0	n=19
at home + in October	12-10	55%from 46%	+0.1	n=22
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 55%	+0.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 55%	+0.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 55%	+0.5	n=12
in October + at this venue	12-10	55%from 58%	+0.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 55%	+0.5	n=12
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 58%	+2.0	n=19
at home + vs the ACC	23-23	50%from 46%	-0.1	n=46
+ in October	12-9	57%from 50%	+0.6	n=21
+ at this venue	12-9	57%from 57%	+0.6	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 57%	+0.5	n=12
+ at this venue	23-23	50%from 50%	-0.1	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 50%	-1.9	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 50%	-1.9	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.