Clemson at Florida State

ST Model Florida State -2.4
Trends · 2026 week 9
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Clemson — the basics
159 graded games since 2014
on the road30-2555%+2.5n=55
vs Florida State7-370%+5.8n=10
in a conference game59-4358%+1.9n=102
vs an FBS opponent81-6755%+1.4n=148
vs a P5 opponent76-6255%+1.5n=138
vs the ACC58-4258%+1.9n=100
in October23-1955%+3.8n=42
in the last 5 seasons29-3843%-2.7n=67
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Clemson — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -2.9 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 159 graded games: +1.3 pts vs their number per gamen=159
Clemson — combinations
97 lean Clemson · 21 lean against
Read this first. 135 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs Florida State + in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
vs Florida State + in a conference game7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ vs the ACC7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ vs the ACC7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
+ vs the ACC7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
vs Florida State + vs an FBS opponent7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ vs the ACC7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
+ vs the ACC7-370%from 70%+5.8n=10
+ in October4-180%from 70%+7.4n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 70%+1.8n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.