Louisville at Georgia Tech—

ST Model Georgia Tech -3.2

Trends · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Louisville — the basics

148 graded games since 2014

on the road	27-30	47%	-1.4	n=57
in a conference game	41-55	43%	-0.4	n=96
vs an FBS opponent	63-77	45%	-0.4	n=140
vs a P5 opponent	52-70	43%	-1.1	n=122
vs the ACC	40-55	42%	-0.5	n=95
in November	22-23	49%	+0.4	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	31-34	48%	+2.1	n=65

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Louisville — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 148 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=148

Louisville — combinations

14 lean Louisville · 51 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 57%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 57% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 49%	+3.0	n=21
in a conference game + in November	16-16	50%from 43%	+1.7	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 50%	+2.7	n=15
vs the ACC + in November	16-16	50%from 42%	+1.7	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 50%	+2.7	n=15
on the road + in November	11-11	50%from 47%	-0.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	+0.7	n=9
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 47%	-0.8	n=22
vs an FBS opponent + in November	22-23	49%from 45%	+0.4	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 49%	+3.0	n=21
vs a P5 opponent + in November	21-23	48%from 43%	+0.1	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-10	50%from 48%	+2.3	n=20
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	29-32	48%from 45%	+1.8	n=61
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	19-21	48%from 43%	+0.9	n=40
vs the ACC + in the last 5 seasons	19-21	48%from 42%	+0.9	n=40
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	27-30	47%from 47%	-1.4	n=57
+ in November	11-11	50%from 47%	-0.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	+0.7	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 47%	-0.8	n=22
+ vs a P5 opponent	24-30	44%from 47%	-1.9	n=54
+ in November	11-11	50%from 44%	-0.6	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 44%	-1.4	n=21
+ vs the ACC	19-27	41%from 44%	-3.0	n=46
+ vs the ACC	19-27	41%from 47%	-3.0	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 41%	-2.3	n=18
+ in November	7-9	44%from 41%	-2.3	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Georgia Tech — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	31-39	44%	-2.4	n=70
in a conference game	47-47	50%	+0.8	n=94
vs an FBS opponent	67-67	50%	+0.4	n=134
vs a P5 opponent	59-59	50%	+0.8	n=118
vs the ACC	46-46	50%	+1.2	n=92
in November	23-21	52%	+0.4	n=44
at this venue	31-39	44%	-2.4	n=70
in the last 5 seasons	31-31	50%	+0.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Georgia Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=141

Georgia Tech — combinations

41 lean Georgia Tech · 95 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 53%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the ACC + in November	17-15	53%from 50%	+0.9	n=32
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 53%	+0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 53%	-6.5	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 53%	-0.8	n=13
in November + in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 52%	-0.1	n=19
vs an FBS opponent + in November	23-21	52%from 50%	+0.4	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 52%	-0.1	n=19
+ at this venue	10-12	45%from 52%	-1.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 45%	-3.9	n=8
vs a P5 opponent + in November	23-21	52%from 50%	+0.4	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 52%	-0.1	n=19
+ at this venue	10-12	45%from 52%	-1.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 45%	-3.9	n=8
in a conference game + in November	17-16	52%from 50%	-0.2	n=33
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 52%	+0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 53%	-6.5	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-8	43%from 52%	-3.4	n=14
vs the ACC + in the last 5 seasons	20-19	51%from 50%	+2.0	n=39
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	59-59	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=118
+ in November	23-21	52%from 50%	+0.4	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-9	53%from 52%	-0.1	n=19
+ at this venue	10-12	45%from 52%	-1.1	n=22
+ vs the ACC	46-46	50%from 50%	+1.2	n=92
+ in November	17-15	53%from 50%	+0.9	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-19	51%from 50%	+2.0	n=39
+ at this venue	20-23	47%from 50%	-1.9	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-26	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=52
+ at this venue	23-28	45%from 50%	-2.2	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 45%	-5.1	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.