How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Stanford — the basics
138 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 26-36 | 42% | -1.2 | n=62 |
| in a conference game | 44-56 | 44% | -0.5 | n=100 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 59-75 | 44% | -0.4 | n=134 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 55-68 | 45% | -0.5 | n=123 |
| vs the ACC | 7-10 | 41% | +2.4 | n=17 |
| in November | 16-29 | 36% | -2.4 | n=45 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 20-39 | 34% | -1.9 | n=59 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Stanford — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.2 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 138 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game | n=138 |
| Stanford has covered 3 straight | n=3 |
Stanford — combinations
11 lean Stanford · 75 lean against
Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs the ACC + in November | 4-2 | 67%from 41% | +6.9 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +6.9 | n=6 |
| in a conference game + vs the ACC | 7-8 | 47%from 44% | +3.1 | n=15 |
| + in November | 4-2 | 67%from 47% | +6.9 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +6.9 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-8 | 47%from 47% | +3.1 | n=15 |
| vs the ACC + in the last 5 seasons | 7-8 | 47%from 41% | +3.1 | n=15 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 23-28 | 45%from 42% | -0.6 | n=51 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 23-28 | 45%from 45% | -0.6 | n=51 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 23-28 | 45%from 45% | -0.6 | n=51 |
| + in November | 9-12 | 43%from 45% | -0.5 | n=21 |
| + vs the ACC | 3-5 | 38%from 45% | -2.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-15 | 29%from 45% | -1.8 | n=21 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 23-28 | 45%from 45% | -0.6 | n=51 |
| + in November | 9-12 | 43%from 45% | -0.5 | n=21 |
| + vs the ACC | 3-5 | 38%from 45% | -2.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-15 | 29%from 45% | -1.8 | n=21 |
| + in November | 9-12 | 43%from 45% | -0.5 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 43% | -4.3 | n=8 |
| + vs the ACC | 3-5 | 38%from 45% | -2.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 38% | -2.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-15 | 29%from 45% | -1.8 | n=21 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent | 55-68 | 45%from 44% | -0.5 | n=123 |
| + vs the ACC | 7-10 | 41%from 45% | +2.4 | n=17 |
| + in November | 4-2 | 67%from 41% | +6.9 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-8 | 47%from 41% | +3.1 | n=15 |
| + in November | 16-27 | 37%from 45% | -2.3 | n=43 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-13 | 32%from 37% | -5.5 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 18-34 | 35%from 45% | -1.9 | n=52 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.