Syracuse at NC State—

ST Model NC State -12

Trends · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Syracuse — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

on the road	33-28	54%	+0.3	n=61
vs NC State	6-4	60%	+1.6	n=10
in a conference game	48-49	49%	-0.4	n=97
vs an FBS opponent	65-67	49%	-0.6	n=132
vs a P5 opponent	57-61	48%	-1.0	n=118
vs the ACC	47-49	49%	-0.5	n=96
in November	18-28	39%	-3.7	n=46
at this venue	3-2	60%	+0.3	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	30-31	49%	-1.3	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Syracuse — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -6.3 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Syracuse has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Syracuse — combinations

69 lean Syracuse · 99 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 68% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs NC State + in a conference game	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ vs the ACC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ vs the ACC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5
vs NC State + vs an FBS opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ vs the ACC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5
+ vs the ACC	6-4	60%from 60%	+1.6	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+0.3	n=5
+ in November	2-3	40%from 60%	-3.7	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

NC State — the basics

147 graded games since 2014

at home	40-36	53%	+0.5	n=76
vs Syracuse	4-6	40%	-1.6	n=10
in a conference game	47-48	49%	+0.3	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	66-72	48%	-0.1	n=138
vs a P5 opponent	54-61	47%	-0.9	n=115
vs the ACC	48-48	50%	+0.3	n=96
in November	26-20	57%	+3.3	n=46
at this venue	40-36	53%	+0.5	n=76
in the last 5 seasons	28-34	45%	+0.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

NC State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 147 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=147
NC State has covered 3 straight	n=3

NC State — combinations

151 lean NC State · 52 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 57%	+6.7	n=20
vs Syracuse + in November	3-2	60%from 40%	+3.7	n=5
in a conference game + in November	26-19	58%from 49%	+3.4	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 58%	+6.7	n=20
+ at this venue	14-10	58%from 58%	+2.6	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 58%	+9.3	n=11
vs the ACC + in November	26-19	58%from 50%	+3.4	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 58%	+6.7	n=20
+ at this venue	14-10	58%from 58%	+2.6	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 58%	+9.3	n=11
vs an FBS opponent + in November	26-20	57%from 48%	+3.3	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 57%	+6.7	n=20
+ at this venue	14-11	56%from 57%	+2.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 56%	+9.3	n=11
vs a P5 opponent + in November	26-20	57%from 47%	+3.3	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 57%	+6.7	n=20
+ at this venue	14-11	56%from 57%	+2.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 56%	+9.3	n=11
at home + in November	14-11	56%from 53%	+2.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 56%	+9.3	n=11
+ at this venue	14-11	56%from 56%	+2.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 56%	+9.3	n=11
in November + at this venue	14-11	56%from 57%	+2.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 56%	+9.3	n=11
at home + in the last 5 seasons	18-15	55%from 53%	+2.6	n=33

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.