Clemson at Duke

ST Model Clemson -3.2
Trends · 2026 week 12
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Clemson — the basics
159 graded games since 2014
on the road30-2555%+2.5n=55
in a conference game59-4358%+1.9n=102
vs an FBS opponent81-6755%+1.4n=148
vs a P5 opponent76-6255%+1.5n=138
vs the ACC58-4258%+1.9n=100
in November26-2254%+0.9n=48
in the last 5 seasons29-3843%-2.7n=67
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Clemson — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -2.9 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 159 graded games: +1.3 pts vs their number per gamen=159
Clemson — combinations
68 lean Clemson · 17 lean against
Read this first. 96 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs the ACC + in November17-1161%from 58%+1.4n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons9-375%from 61%+2.7n=12
in November + in the last 5 seasons13-959%from 54%+0.6n=22
in a conference game + in November17-1259%from 58%+0.9n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons9-375%from 59%+2.7n=12
vs a P5 opponent + in November25-1858%from 55%+1.5n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons13-765%from 58%+1.6n=20
in a conference game + vs the ACC58-4258%from 58%+1.9n=100
+ in November17-1161%from 58%+1.4n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons9-375%from 61%+2.7n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2052%from 58%-1.7n=42
vs an FBS opponent + vs the ACC58-4258%from 55%+1.9n=100
+ in November17-1161%from 58%+1.4n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons9-375%from 61%+2.7n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2052%from 58%-1.7n=42
vs a P5 opponent + vs the ACC58-4258%from 55%+1.9n=100
+ in November17-1161%from 58%+1.4n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons9-375%from 61%+2.7n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2052%from 58%-1.7n=42
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent59-4358%from 58%+1.9n=102
+ in November17-1259%from 58%+0.9n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons9-375%from 59%+2.7n=12
+ vs the ACC58-4258%from 58%+1.9n=100
+ in November17-1161%from 58%+1.4n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2052%from 58%-1.7n=42
+ vs a P5 opponent59-4358%from 58%+1.9n=102
+ in November17-1259%from 58%+0.9n=29
+ vs the ACC58-4258%from 58%+1.9n=100
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2052%from 58%-1.7n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons22-2052%from 58%-1.7n=42
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.