Massachusetts at RutgersRutgers -30.5o/u 54.5

ST Model Rutgers -35.6(+5.1 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Massachusetts — the basics

131 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-38	46%	-2.8	n=70
as an underdog	46-60	43%	-2.8	n=106
spread 21+	20-20	50%	-1.1	n=40
out of conference	43-59	42%	-2.8	n=102
vs an FBS opponent	51-69	43%	-3.1	n=120
vs a P5 opponent	21-25	46%	-0.4	n=46
vs the Big Ten	1-4	20%	-9.3	n=5
in September	17-27	39%	-3.5	n=44
in the last 5 seasons	23-36	39%	-4.8	n=59

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Massachusetts — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -12.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 131 graded games: -3.3 pts vs their number per game	n=131

Massachusetts — combinations

0 lean Massachusetts · 170 lean against

Read this first. 187 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
spread 21+ + vs a P5 opponent	13-13	50%from 50%	+0.2	n=26
+ in September	5-5	50%from 50%	+5.3	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+2.6	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 50%	-0.7	n=13
as an underdog + spread 21+	19-20	49%from 43%	-1.3	n=39
+ vs a P5 opponent	13-13	50%from 49%	+0.2	n=26
+ in September	5-5	50%from 50%	+5.3	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 50%	-0.7	n=13
+ vs an FBS opponent	19-20	49%from 49%	-1.3	n=39
+ vs a P5 opponent	13-13	50%from 49%	+0.2	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
+ in September	6-8	43%from 49%	+1.9	n=14
+ out of conference	17-20	46%from 49%	-1.6	n=37
+ vs a P5 opponent	12-13	48%from 46%	+0.0	n=25
+ vs an FBS opponent	17-20	46%from 46%	-1.6	n=37
+ in September	6-8	43%from 46%	+1.9	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-11	39%from 46%	-2.7	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
+ in September	6-8	43%from 49%	+1.9	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 43%	-1.5	n=9
spread 21+ + vs an FBS opponent	19-20	49%from 50%	-1.3	n=39
+ vs a P5 opponent	13-13	50%from 49%	+0.2	n=26
+ in September	5-5	50%from 50%	+5.3	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-7	46%from 50%	-0.7	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
+ in September	6-8	43%from 49%	+1.9	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 43%	-1.5	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Rutgers — the basics

138 graded games since 2014

at home	35-38	48%	-2.4	n=73
as a favorite	24-15	62%	+2.0	n=39
spread 21+	15-19	44%	-2.8	n=34
out of conference	24-11	69%	+3.9	n=35
vs an FBS opponent	64-67	49%	-2.2	n=131
vs a G5 opponent	12-6	67%	+5.2	n=18
in September	26-16	62%	+0.7	n=42
at this venue	17-20	46%	-2.7	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	31-29	52%	-1.3	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Rutgers — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 138 graded games: -1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=138

Rutgers — combinations

193 lean Rutgers · 11 lean against

Read this first. 219 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 77% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 18.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in September + at this venue	11-2	85%from 62%	+8.7	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-2	85%from 85%	+8.7	n=13
out of conference + at this venue	9-2	82%from 69%	+9.4	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 82%	+9.4	n=11
in September + in the last 5 seasons	16-4	80%from 62%	+6.7	n=20
vs a G5 opponent + at this venue	8-2	80%from 67%	+9.2	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 80%	+9.2	n=10
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	14-4	78%from 69%	+6.0	n=18
as a favorite + in September	16-5	76%from 62%	+6.3	n=21
+ at this venue	11-0	100%from 76%	+11.8	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-0	100%from 100%	+11.8	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-1	92%from 76%	+9.3	n=13
vs a G5 opponent + in September	12-4	75%from 67%	+6.8	n=16
+ at this venue	8-0	100%from 75%	+13.2	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-0	100%from 100%	+13.2	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-1	89%from 75%	+9.9	n=9
at home + vs a G5 opponent	11-4	73%from 48%	+7.3	n=15
+ in September	11-2	85%from 73%	+9.5	n=13
+ at this venue	8-0	100%from 85%	+13.2	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-0	100%from 85%	+13.2	n=8
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 73%	+9.2	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 80%	+9.2	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 73%	+9.2	n=10
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	8-3	73%from 49%	+7.3	n=11
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 73%	+12.3	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+12.3	n=6
+ in September	8-2	80%from 73%	+9.3	n=10
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 80%	+17.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 80%	+11.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 73%	+8.3	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.