Washington State at WashingtonWashington -21.5o/u 50.5

ST Model Washington -13.8(-7.7 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Washington State — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

on the road	34-27	56%	+2.1	n=61
vs Washington	3-8	27%	-8.3	n=11
as an underdog	42-27	61%	+2.1	n=69
spread 21+	6-6	50%	+2.0	n=12
out of conference	29-24	55%	+1.3	n=53
vs an FBS opponent	77-54	59%	+2.3	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	63-40	61%	+2.9	n=103
vs the Big Ten	4-3	57%	+1.1	n=7
in September	25-17	60%	+1.1	n=42
at this venue	2-3	40%	-4.1	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	38-26	59%	+2.2	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Washington State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +8.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Washington State has covered 4 straight	n=4

Washington State — combinations

113 lean Washington State · 29 lean against

Read this first. 155 combinations shown. The best one here is 89%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 85% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the Big Ten + in September	4-1	80%from 57%	+8.1	n=5
vs a P5 opponent + in September	15-4	79%from 61%	+4.0	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 79%	+5.0	n=9
as an underdog + in September	15-5	75%from 61%	+2.3	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 75%	+0.8	n=12
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	11-4	73%from 55%	+6.7	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-1	89%from 73%	+11.5	n=9
+ in September	6-1	86%from 73%	+11.7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 86%	+11.1	n=5
+ vs the Big Ten	4-3	57%from 73%	+1.1	n=7
+ in September	4-1	80%from 57%	+8.1	n=5
as an underdog + out of conference	14-6	70%from 61%	+4.3	n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 70%	+8.1	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-1	89%from 82%	+11.5	n=9
+ in September	5-1	83%from 82%	+10.7	n=6
+ vs the Big Ten	4-2	67%from 82%	+3.0	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-4	75%from 70%	+6.2	n=16
+ vs an FBS opponent	14-6	70%from 70%	+4.3	n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent	9-2	82%from 70%	+8.1	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-4	75%from 70%	+6.2	n=16
+ in September	7-3	70%from 70%	+3.8	n=10
+ vs the Big Ten	4-2	67%from 70%	+3.0	n=6
+ in September	7-3	70%from 70%	+3.8	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 70%	+2.5	n=8
+ vs the Big Ten	4-2	67%from 70%	+3.0	n=6
+ in September	4-1	80%from 67%	+8.1	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Washington — the basics

144 graded games since 2014

at home	37-37	50%	+2.2	n=74
vs Washington State	8-3	73%	+8.3	n=11
as a favorite	57-49	54%	+3.2	n=106
spread 21+	13-12	52%	+1.4	n=25
out of conference	26-17	60%	+5.1	n=43
vs an FBS opponent	65-70	48%	+1.8	n=135
vs a P5 opponent	55-65	46%	+0.9	n=120
vs the Pac-12	38-47	45%	+0.9	n=85
in September	25-19	57%	+4.1	n=44
at this venue	37-37	50%	+2.2	n=74
in the last 5 seasons	30-36	45%	+0.5	n=66

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Washington — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +7.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 144 graded games: +2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=144

Washington — combinations

186 lean Washington · 116 lean against

Read this first. 342 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Washington State + as a favorite	7-2	78%from 73%	+11.2	n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent	7-2	78%from 78%	+11.2	n=9
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-2	78%from 78%	+11.2	n=9
+ vs the Pac-12	7-2	78%from 78%	+11.2	n=9
+ vs a P5 opponent	7-2	78%from 78%	+11.2	n=9
+ vs the Pac-12	7-2	78%from 78%	+11.2	n=9
+ vs the Pac-12	7-2	78%from 78%	+11.2	n=9
vs Washington State + vs an FBS opponent	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ vs the Pac-12	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+4.1	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 73%	-3.8	n=5
+ vs the Pac-12	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+4.1	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 73%	-3.8	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+4.1	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 73%	-3.8	n=5
vs Washington State + vs a P5 opponent	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ vs the Pac-12	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+4.1	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 73%	-3.8	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+4.1	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 73%	-3.8	n=5
vs Washington State + vs the Pac-12	8-3	73%from 73%	+8.3	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 73%	+4.1	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 73%	-3.8	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.