How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Western Kentucky — the basics
154 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 41-33 | 55% | +2.3 | n=74 |
| out of conference | 29-27 | 52% | +1.5 | n=56 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 84-61 | 58% | +3.0 | n=145 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 12-13 | 48% | +0.2 | n=25 |
| vs the Big Ten | 3-4 | 43% | -5.6 | n=7 |
| in September | 25-16 | 61% | +3.1 | n=41 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 42-26 | 62% | +2.0 | n=68 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Western Kentucky — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +3.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 154 graded games: +2.5 pts vs their number per game | n=154 |
Western Kentucky — combinations
33 lean Western Kentucky · 25 lean against
Read this first. 81 combinations shown. The best one here is 87%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 15-3 | 83%from 61% | +6.2 | n=18 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 17-9 | 65%from 52% | +1.9 | n=26 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in September | 23-13 | 64%from 58% | +4.1 | n=36 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-2 | 87%from 64% | +6.4 | n=15 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 39-24 | 62%from 58% | +2.0 | n=63 |
| on the road + in September | 13-8 | 62%from 55% | +2.7 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 62% | +1.4 | n=9 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 19-14 | 58%from 55% | +0.5 | n=33 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 48% | -3.9 | n=9 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 41-33 | 55%from 55% | +2.3 | n=74 |
| + in September | 13-8 | 62%from 55% | +2.7 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 62% | +1.4 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-14 | 58%from 55% | +0.5 | n=33 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 9-10 | 47%from 55% | +0.1 | n=19 |
| + in September | 7-5 | 58%from 47% | +1.7 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 47% | -5.4 | n=8 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 2-4 | 33%from 47% | -7.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 2-4 | 33%from 55% | -7.8 | n=6 |
| + in September | 2-3 | 40%from 33% | -8.1 | n=5 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 26-21 | 55%from 52% | +2.9 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 55% | +1.6 | n=21 |
| + in September | 15-11 | 58%from 55% | +1.3 | n=26 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-2 | 82%from 58% | +1.6 | n=11 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 12-13 | 48%from 55% | +0.2 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 48% | -3.9 | n=9 |
| + in September | 8-8 | 50%from 48% | -0.5 | n=16 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-4 | 43%from 48% | -5.6 | n=7 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 3-4 | 43%from 55% | -5.6 | n=7 |
| + in September | 3-3 | 50%from 43% | -5.5 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.