Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin—

ST Model Wisconsin -15.6

Trends · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Eastern Michigan — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

on the road	42-29	59%	+3.0	n=71
out of conference	26-23	53%	-1.2	n=49
vs an FBS opponent	69-61	53%	+0.1	n=130
vs a P5 opponent	12-11	52%	-0.8	n=23
vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%	+3.5	n=7
in September	20-22	48%	-1.7	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	32-29	52%	-0.7	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Eastern Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=139
Eastern Michigan has covered 3 straight	n=3

Eastern Michigan — combinations

60 lean Eastern Michigan · 3 lean against

Read this first. 82 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 59%	+3.5	n=7
+ in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
out of conference + vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 53%	+3.5	n=7
+ in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 53%	+3.5	n=7
+ in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
vs a P5 opponent + vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 52%	+3.5	n=7
+ in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
vs the Big Ten + in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	11-6	65%from 59%	+3.1	n=17
+ vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 65%	+3.5	n=7
+ in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 65%	+6.1	n=7
+ in September	8-6	57%from 65%	+0.7	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 57%	+4.4	n=6
on the road + out of conference	15-10	60%from 59%	+2.6	n=25
+ vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 60%	+3.5	n=7
+ in September	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	11-6	65%from 60%	+3.1	n=17
+ vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 65%	+3.5	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 65%	+6.1	n=7
+ in September	8-6	57%from 65%	+0.7	n=14
+ vs an FBS opponent	15-10	60%from 60%	+2.6	n=25
+ vs the Big Ten	5-2	71%from 60%	+3.5	n=7
+ vs a P5 opponent	11-6	65%from 60%	+3.1	n=17
+ in September	11-9	55%from 60%	+1.5	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 60%	+0.1	n=10
+ in September	11-9	55%from 60%	+1.5	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	-0.6	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 60%	+0.1	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Wisconsin — the basics

148 graded games since 2014

at home	32-44	42%	-0.9	n=76
out of conference	22-21	51%	+1.6	n=43
vs an FBS opponent	73-72	50%	+0.0	n=145
vs a G5 opponent	12-11	52%	+3.8	n=23
vs the Mid-American	7-3	70%	+10.7	n=10
in September	16-22	42%	-0.9	n=38
at this venue	32-44	42%	-0.9	n=76
in the last 5 seasons	28-34	45%	-2.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Wisconsin — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 148 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=148

Wisconsin — combinations

55 lean Wisconsin · 53 lean against

Read this first. 139 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the Mid-American + in September	5-1	83%from 70%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+17.2	n=6
out of conference + vs the Mid-American	7-3	70%from 51%	+10.7	n=10
+ in September	5-1	83%from 70%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 70%	+11.7	n=9
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Mid-American	7-3	70%from 50%	+10.7	n=10
+ in September	5-1	83%from 70%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 70%	+11.7	n=9
vs a G5 opponent + vs the Mid-American	7-3	70%from 52%	+10.7	n=10
+ in September	5-1	83%from 70%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 70%	+11.7	n=9
at home + vs the Mid-American	6-3	67%from 42%	+11.7	n=9
+ in September	5-1	83%from 67%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 67%	+11.7	n=9
vs the Mid-American + at this venue	6-3	67%from 70%	+11.7	n=9
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	11-9	55%from 50%	+4.7	n=20
+ vs the Mid-American	7-3	70%from 55%	+10.7	n=10
+ in September	5-1	83%from 70%	+17.2	n=6
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 70%	+11.7	n=9
+ in September	8-7	53%from 55%	+3.5	n=15
+ at this venue	8-7	53%from 53%	+3.5	n=15
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 55%	+3.0	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 50%	-1.5	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 55%	-1.5	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.