Maryland at Nebraska—

ST Model Nebraska -14.1

Trends · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Maryland — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

on the road	24-36	40%	-1.7	n=60
in a conference game	39-61	39%	-4.7	n=100
vs an FBS opponent	58-74	44%	-2.3	n=132
vs a P5 opponent	50-65	43%	-2.5	n=115
vs the Big Ten	39-61	39%	-4.7	n=100
in October	16-26	38%	-6.7	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	28-35	44%	-1.2	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Maryland — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=139
Maryland has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

Maryland — combinations

0 lean Maryland · 91 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 46%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 53% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	27-32	46%from 44%	-1.3	n=59
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	23-29	44%from 43%	-1.9	n=52
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	50-65	43%from 44%	-2.5	n=115
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-29	44%from 43%	-1.9	n=52
+ vs the Big Ten	39-61	39%from 43%	-4.7	n=100
+ in October	16-26	38%from 39%	-6.7	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-29	36%from 39%	-5.1	n=45
+ in October	16-26	38%from 43%	-6.7	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-12	29%from 38%	-10.0	n=17
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	10-14	42%from 40%	-1.6	n=24
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	24-36	40%from 40%	-1.7	n=60
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-14	42%from 40%	-1.6	n=24
+ vs a P5 opponent	21-33	39%from 40%	-2.5	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-14	39%from 39%	-2.0	n=23
+ vs the Big Ten	18-32	36%from 39%	-3.4	n=50
+ in October	3-16	16%from 39%	-12.2	n=19
+ vs the Big Ten	18-32	36%from 40%	-3.4	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-14	36%from 36%	-2.9	n=22
+ in October	3-16	16%from 36%	-12.2	n=19
+ in October	3-16	16%from 40%	-12.2	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-6	14%from 16%	-12.8	n=7
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	39-61	39%from 39%	-4.7	n=100
+ vs a P5 opponent	39-61	39%from 39%	-4.7	n=100
+ vs the Big Ten	39-61	39%from 39%	-4.7	n=100
+ in October	16-26	38%from 39%	-6.7	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-29	36%from 39%	-5.1	n=45
+ vs the Big Ten	39-61	39%from 39%	-4.7	n=100
+ in October	16-26	38%from 39%	-6.7	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-29	36%from 39%	-5.1	n=45
+ in October	16-26	38%from 39%	-6.7	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-12	29%from 38%	-10.0	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-29	36%from 39%	-5.1	n=45

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Nebraska — the basics

137 graded games since 2014

at home	30-45	40%	-3.1	n=75
in a conference game	43-56	43%	-3.0	n=99
vs an FBS opponent	60-71	46%	-2.4	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	51-64	44%	-3.0	n=115
vs the Big Ten	43-56	43%	-3.0	n=99
in October	15-24	38%	-1.8	n=39
at this venue	30-45	40%	-3.1	n=75
in the last 5 seasons	27-31	47%	-1.1	n=58

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Nebraska — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 137 graded games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=137
Nebraska has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

Nebraska — combinations

0 lean Nebraska · 154 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 48%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 56% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + in the last 5 seasons	16-17	48%from 40%	+0.1	n=33
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	16-17	48%from 40%	+0.1	n=33
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	24-30	44%from 46%	-1.2	n=54
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	51-64	44%from 46%	-3.0	n=115
+ vs the Big Ten	43-56	43%from 44%	-3.0	n=99
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-24	41%from 43%	-1.6	n=41
+ in October	15-23	39%from 43%	-1.6	n=38
+ at this venue	17-32	35%from 43%	-3.5	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-28	42%from 44%	-1.9	n=48
+ in October	15-23	39%from 44%	-1.6	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 39%	-0.3	n=16
+ at this venue	5-13	28%from 39%	-0.6	n=18
+ at this venue	19-35	35%from 44%	-3.8	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-14	39%from 35%	-1.1	n=23
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	43-56	43%from 43%	-3.0	n=99
+ vs a P5 opponent	43-56	43%from 43%	-3.0	n=99
+ vs the Big Ten	43-56	43%from 43%	-3.0	n=99
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-24	41%from 43%	-1.6	n=41
+ in October	15-23	39%from 43%	-1.6	n=38
+ at this venue	17-32	35%from 43%	-3.5	n=49
+ vs the Big Ten	43-56	43%from 43%	-3.0	n=99
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-24	41%from 43%	-1.6	n=41
+ in October	15-23	39%from 43%	-1.6	n=38
+ at this venue	17-32	35%from 43%	-3.5	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-24	41%from 43%	-1.6	n=41
+ in October	15-23	39%from 43%	-1.6	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 39%	-0.3	n=16
+ at this venue	5-13	28%from 39%	-0.6	n=18
+ at this venue	17-32	35%from 43%	-3.5	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-13	38%from 35%	-0.6	n=21

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.