How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Washington — the basics
144 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 25-29 | 46% | +1.2 | n=54 |
| vs USC | 4-1 | 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| in a conference game | 45-56 | 45% | +0.7 | n=101 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 65-70 | 48% | +1.8 | n=135 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 55-65 | 46% | +0.9 | n=120 |
| vs the Big Ten | 13-14 | 48% | +0.1 | n=27 |
| in October | 12-26 | 32% | -1.8 | n=38 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 30-36 | 45% | +0.5 | n=66 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Washington — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +7.5 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 144 graded games: +2.0 pts vs their number per game | n=144 |
Washington — combinations
7 lean Washington · 86 lean against
Read this first. 101 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs USC + in a conference game | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| vs USC + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| vs USC + vs a P5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the Big Ten | 13-14 | 48%from 48% | +0.1 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-12 | 45%from 48% | -0.3 | n=22 |
| + in October | 3-4 | 43%from 48% | -1.7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 43% | -1.7 | n=7 |
| vs a P5 opponent + vs the Big Ten | 13-14 | 48%from 46% | +0.1 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-12 | 45%from 48% | -0.3 | n=22 |
| + in October | 3-4 | 43%from 48% | -1.7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 43% | -1.7 | n=7 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 25-29 | 46%from 46% | +1.2 | n=54 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 24-29 | 45%from 46% | +1.1 | n=53 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-17 | 32%from 45% | -3.1 | n=25 |
| + in October | 6-18 | 25%from 45% | -3.5 | n=24 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 2-10 | 17%from 45% | -5.8 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-17 | 32%from 46% | -3.1 | n=25 |
| + in October | 6-18 | 25%from 46% | -3.5 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-11 | 8%from 25% | -9.0 | n=12 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 2-10 | 17%from 46% | -5.8 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-9 | 18%from 17% | -5.3 | n=11 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.