UCLA at Minnesota

ST Model Minnesota -6.4
Trends · 2026 week 10
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
UCLA — the basics
140 graded games since 2014
on the road31-3150%+1.0n=62
in a conference game49-5547%-0.5n=104
vs an FBS opponent60-7843%-1.7n=138
vs a P5 opponent54-6545%-1.0n=119
vs the Big Ten9-1047%+0.2n=19
in November22-2349%-1.5n=45
in the last 5 seasons30-3248%-1.0n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
UCLA — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -5.8 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 140 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per gamen=140
UCLA — combinations
34 lean UCLA · 27 lean against
Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 56% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + vs the Big Ten6-367%from 50%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons6-367%from 67%+4.2n=9
on the road + in the last 5 seasons16-1159%from 50%+2.6n=27
on the road + in a conference game27-2552%from 50%+1.4n=52
+ vs the Big Ten6-367%from 52%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons6-367%from 67%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons14-961%from 52%+3.2n=23
+ vs an FBS opponent27-2552%from 52%+1.4n=52
+ vs the Big Ten6-367%from 52%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons14-961%from 52%+3.2n=23
+ vs a P5 opponent27-2552%from 52%+1.4n=52
+ in November11-1150%from 52%-0.7n=22
+ vs a P5 opponent27-2552%from 52%+1.4n=52
+ vs the Big Ten6-367%from 52%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons14-961%from 52%+3.2n=23
+ in November11-1150%from 52%-0.7n=22
+ in November11-1150%from 52%-0.7n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 50%+3.6n=9
on the road + vs a P5 opponent29-2752%from 50%+1.4n=56
+ vs the Big Ten6-367%from 52%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons6-367%from 67%+4.2n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons15-963%from 52%+3.2n=24
+ in November11-1150%from 52%-0.7n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 50%+3.6n=9
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons23-2251%from 47%+0.1n=45
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.