How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Northwestern — the basics
140 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 31-22 | 58% | +2.2 | n=53 |
| vs Ohio State | 4-2 | 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| in a conference game | 57-43 | 57% | +2.0 | n=100 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 71-61 | 54% | +1.5 | n=132 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 65-53 | 55% | +1.6 | n=118 |
| vs the Big Ten | 57-43 | 57% | +2.0 | n=100 |
| in November | 26-20 | 57% | +1.6 | n=46 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 28-32 | 47% | -0.2 | n=60 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Northwestern — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +5.5 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 140 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=140 |
Northwestern — combinations
75 lean Northwestern · 30 lean against
Read this first. 113 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ohio State + in a conference game | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| vs Ohio State + vs an FBS opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| vs Ohio State + vs a P5 opponent | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| vs Ohio State + vs the Big Ten | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +4.3 | n=6 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 29-17 | 63%from 58% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 29-17 | 63%from 63% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 29-17 | 63%from 63% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 29-17 | 63%from 63% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + in November | 13-9 | 59%from 63% | +0.7 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-11 | 45%from 63% | -0.9 | n=20 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 29-17 | 63%from 63% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 29-17 | 63%from 63% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + in November | 13-9 | 59%from 63% | +0.7 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-11 | 45%from 63% | -0.9 | n=20 |
| + vs the Big Ten | 29-17 | 63%from 63% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + in November | 13-9 | 59%from 63% | +0.7 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-11 | 45%from 63% | -0.9 | n=20 |
| + in November | 13-9 | 59%from 63% | +0.7 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 59% | -3.1 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-11 | 45%from 63% | -0.9 | n=20 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.