Nebraska at Iowa—

ST Model Iowa -9

Trends · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Nebraska — the basics

137 graded games since 2014

on the road	30-25	55%	-1.7	n=55
vs Iowa	4-5	44%	-7.3	n=9
in a conference game	43-56	43%	-3.0	n=99
vs an FBS opponent	60-71	46%	-2.4	n=131
vs a P5 opponent	51-64	44%	-3.0	n=115
vs the Big Ten	43-56	43%	-3.0	n=99
in November	20-22	48%	-3.3	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	27-31	47%	-1.1	n=58

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Nebraska — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 137 graded games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=137
Nebraska has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

Nebraska — combinations

14 lean Nebraska · 102 lean against

Read this first. 124 combinations shown. The best one here is 55%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 58% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	30-25	55%from 55%	-1.7	n=55
+ vs a P5 opponent	29-25	54%from 55%	-2.2	n=54
+ vs the Big Ten	26-23	53%from 54%	-2.3	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 54%	-2.1	n=21
+ in November	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.9	n=19
+ vs the Big Ten	26-23	53%from 55%	-2.3	n=49
+ in November	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.1	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 55%	-2.1	n=21
+ in November	9-10	47%from 55%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 47%	+0.2	n=7
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	29-25	54%from 55%	-2.2	n=54
+ vs the Big Ten	26-23	53%from 54%	-2.3	n=49
+ in November	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.1	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 54%	-2.1	n=21
+ in November	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 47%	+0.2	n=7
on the road + in a conference game	26-23	53%from 55%	-2.3	n=49
+ vs an FBS opponent	26-23	53%from 53%	-2.3	n=49
+ vs a P5 opponent	26-23	53%from 53%	-2.3	n=49
+ vs the Big Ten	26-23	53%from 53%	-2.3	n=49
+ in November	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs a P5 opponent	26-23	53%from 53%	-2.3	n=49
+ vs the Big Ten	26-23	53%from 53%	-2.3	n=49
+ in November	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Big Ten	26-23	53%from 53%	-2.3	n=49
+ in November	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.1	n=19
+ in November	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 47%	+0.2	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.1	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Iowa — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

at home	37-35	51%	+3.2	n=72
vs Nebraska	5-4	56%	+7.3	n=9
in a conference game	57-42	58%	+4.8	n=99
vs an FBS opponent	75-60	56%	+3.6	n=135
vs a P5 opponent	67-52	56%	+4.0	n=119
vs the Big Ten	57-42	58%	+4.8	n=99
in November	26-17	60%	+7.2	n=43
at this venue	37-35	51%	+3.2	n=72
in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%	+1.9	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Iowa — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: +3.3 pts vs their number per game	n=139
Iowa has covered 2 straight	n=2

Iowa — combinations

179 lean Iowa · 0 lean against

Read this first. 188 combinations shown. The best one here is 63%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 60%	+4.8	n=19
in a conference game + in November	26-17	60%from 58%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 60%	+4.8	n=19
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 60%	+7.2	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 55%	+3.8	n=9
vs an FBS opponent + in November	26-17	60%from 56%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 60%	+4.8	n=19
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 60%	+7.2	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 55%	+3.8	n=9
vs a P5 opponent + in November	26-17	60%from 56%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 60%	+4.8	n=19
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 60%	+7.2	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 55%	+3.8	n=9
vs the Big Ten + in November	26-17	60%from 58%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 60%	+4.8	n=19
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 60%	+7.2	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 55%	+3.8	n=9
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 58%	+3.5	n=46
vs the Big Ten + in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 58%	+3.5	n=46
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	57-42	58%from 58%	+4.8	n=99
+ in November	26-17	60%from 58%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 60%	+4.8	n=19
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 60%	+7.2	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 58%	+3.5	n=46
+ vs a P5 opponent	57-42	58%from 58%	+4.8	n=99
+ in November	26-17	60%from 58%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 58%	+3.5	n=46
+ vs the Big Ten	57-42	58%from 58%	+4.8	n=99
+ at this venue	26-21	55%from 58%	+5.5	n=47
+ vs the Big Ten	57-42	58%from 58%	+4.8	n=99
+ in November	26-17	60%from 58%	+7.2	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 58%	+3.5	n=46
+ at this venue	26-21	55%from 58%	+5.5	n=47
+ at this venue	26-21	55%from 58%	+5.5	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 55%	+4.5	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.