USC at UCLA—

ST Model USC -15.9

Trends · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

USC — the basics

145 graded games since 2014

on the road	22-36	38%	-2.1	n=58
vs UCLA	6-6	50%	-4.3	n=12
in a conference game	44-60	42%	-1.7	n=104
vs an FBS opponent	63-81	44%	-1.3	n=144
vs a P5 opponent	54-76	42%	-2.4	n=130
vs the Big Ten	7-16	30%	-2.9	n=23
in November	21-22	49%	-0.7	n=43
at this venue	4-3	57%	-1.9	n=7
in the last 5 seasons	29-36	45%	-2.0	n=65

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

USC — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 145 graded games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=145
USC has failed to cover 4 straight	n=4

USC — combinations

52 lean USC · 97 lean against

Read this first. 172 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs UCLA	4-2	67%from 38%	-1.7	n=6
+ in a conference game	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ in November	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ in November	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.3	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ in November	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.3	n=5
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	-1.7	n=6
+ in November	3-2	60%from 67%	-2.3	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-2.3	n=5
on the road + at this venue	4-2	67%from 38%	-1.7	n=6
vs UCLA + at this venue	4-2	67%from 50%	-1.7	n=6
in a conference game + at this venue	4-2	67%from 42%	-1.7	n=6
in November + at this venue	3-2	60%from 49%	-2.3	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	4-3	57%from 44%	-1.9	n=7
vs a P5 opponent + at this venue	4-3	57%from 42%	-1.9	n=7
on the road + in November	9-9	50%from 38%	+1.1	n=18
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 50%	-2.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 50%	-1.1	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

UCLA — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

at home	28-44	39%	-3.6	n=72
vs USC	6-6	50%	+4.3	n=12
in a conference game	49-55	47%	-0.5	n=104
vs an FBS opponent	60-78	43%	-1.7	n=138
vs a P5 opponent	54-65	45%	-1.0	n=119
vs the Big Ten	9-10	47%	+0.2	n=19
in November	22-23	49%	-1.5	n=45
at this venue	28-44	39%	-3.6	n=72
in the last 5 seasons	30-32	48%	-1.0	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

UCLA — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -5.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=140

UCLA — combinations

24 lean UCLA · 135 lean against

Read this first. 204 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 63% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs USC + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+9.7	n=5
vs USC + in November	6-5	55%from 50%	+4.8	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 55%	+9.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+2.3	n=5
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	23-22	51%from 47%	+0.1	n=45
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	25-24	51%from 45%	-0.3	n=49
in a conference game + in November	22-22	50%from 47%	-1.5	n=44
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 50%	-2.3	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 50%	-8.3	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 50%	-2.7	n=19
vs a P5 opponent + in November	22-22	50%from 45%	-1.5	n=44
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 50%	-2.3	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 50%	-8.3	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 50%	-2.7	n=19
in a conference game + vs the Big Ten	9-9	50%from 47%	+1.1	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=18
+ in November	3-5	38%from 50%	-2.4	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 38%	-2.4	n=8
+ at this venue	3-6	33%from 50%	-2.1	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 33%	-2.1	n=9
vs the Big Ten + in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 47%	+1.1	n=18
vs USC + in a conference game	6-6	50%from 50%	+4.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+9.7	n=5
+ in November	6-5	55%from 50%	+4.8	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 55%	+9.7	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	+2.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+4.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+9.7	n=5
+ in November	6-5	55%from 50%	+4.8	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+4.3	n=12
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 50%	+1.7	n=6
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+4.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+9.7	n=5
+ in November	6-5	55%from 50%	+4.8	n=11
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 50%	+1.7	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 50%	+1.7	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.