Wyoming at Colorado StateColorado State -4o/u 48.5

ST Model Colorado State -3.6(-0.4 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Wyoming — the basics

136 graded games since 2014

on the road	29-35	45%	-0.9	n=64
vs Colorado State	8-4	67%	+5.4	n=12
as an underdog	44-37	54%	+1.5	n=81
spread 3.5-7	20-14	59%	+2.5	n=34
out of conference	21-24	47%	-1.5	n=45
vs an FBS opponent	69-58	54%	+1.5	n=127
vs a P5 opponent	8-12	40%	-4.0	n=20
vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%	-1.2	n=5
in September	18-24	43%	-2.3	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	29-31	48%	-0.7	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Wyoming — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 136 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=136
Wyoming has failed to cover 4 straight	n=4

Wyoming — combinations

37 lean Wyoming · 91 lean against

Read this first. 151 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Colorado State + spread 3.5-7	5-1	83%from 67%	+8.4	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-1	83%from 83%	+8.4	n=6
vs Colorado State + vs an FBS opponent	8-4	67%from 67%	+5.4	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	+5.9	n=5
vs Colorado State + as an underdog	4-2	67%from 67%	+7.6	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+7.6	n=6
vs Colorado State + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	+5.9	n=5
as an underdog + vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%from 54%	-1.2	n=5
out of conference + vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%from 47%	-1.2	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%from 54%	-1.2	n=5
vs a P5 opponent + vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%from 40%	-1.2	n=5
spread 3.5-7 + vs an FBS opponent	19-13	59%from 59%	+2.9	n=32
+ in September	5-3	63%from 59%	-0.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 63%	-0.6	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 59%	+1.7	n=17
as an underdog + spread 3.5-7	10-8	56%from 54%	+1.1	n=18
+ in September	3-2	60%from 56%	-5.5	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	10-8	56%from 56%	+1.1	n=18
+ in September	3-2	60%from 56%	-5.5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 56%	-2.0	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 56%	-2.0	n=10
spread 3.5-7 + in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 59%	+1.0	n=18
spread 3.5-7 + in September	5-4	56%from 59%	-1.4	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 56%	-2.3	n=6
as an underdog + vs an FBS opponent	44-37	54%from 54%	+1.5	n=81
+ vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%from 54%	-1.2	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-18	51%from 54%	-0.2	n=37
+ in September	10-13	43%from 54%	-2.1	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 43%	+0.6	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	8-11	42%from 54%	-2.7	n=19
+ vs the Pac-12	3-2	60%from 42%	-1.2	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 42%	-1.8	n=9
+ in September	5-10	33%from 42%	-5.4	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Colorado State — the basics

135 graded games since 2014

at home	28-36	44%	-3.4	n=64
vs Wyoming	4-8	33%	-5.4	n=12
as a favorite	24-38	39%	-4.2	n=62
spread 3.5-7	18-23	44%	-3.0	n=41
out of conference	19-27	41%	-6.2	n=46
vs an FBS opponent	56-70	44%	-2.0	n=126
vs a G5 opponent	49-61	45%	-1.9	n=110
vs the Mountain West	40-49	45%	-0.7	n=89
in September	16-22	42%	-5.3	n=38
at this venue	19-30	39%	-4.9	n=49
in the last 5 seasons	25-35	42%	-3.9	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Colorado State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -8.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 135 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game	n=135
Colorado State has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Colorado State — combinations

11 lean Colorado State · 272 lean against

Read this first. 325 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs Wyoming	3-3	50%from 44%	-3.0	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	n=6
+ vs the Mountain West	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	n=6
+ vs the Mountain West	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	n=6
+ vs the Mountain West	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.0	n=6
at home + spread 3.5-7	11-12	48%from 44%	-1.1	n=23
+ vs an FBS opponent	11-11	50%from 48%	-0.2	n=22
+ vs a G5 opponent	10-9	53%from 50%	+1.3	n=19
+ vs the Mountain West	8-8	50%from 50%	+2.9	n=16
+ in September	3-3	50%from 50%	-8.5	n=6
+ at this venue	7-9	44%from 50%	-0.7	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 50%	-1.4	n=12
+ vs a G5 opponent	10-10	50%from 48%	+0.2	n=20
+ vs the Mountain West	8-8	50%from 50%	+2.9	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	+1.4	n=10
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 50%	0.0	n=15
+ vs the Mountain West	8-8	50%from 48%	+2.9	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	+4.6	n=8
+ at this venue	5-6	45%from 50%	+3.8	n=11
+ out of conference	3-4	43%from 48%	-10.1	n=7
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-3	50%from 43%	-8.5	n=6
+ in September	3-4	43%from 43%	-10.1	n=7
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 43%	-12.2	n=6
+ in September	3-4	43%from 48%	-10.1	n=7
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 43%	-12.2	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 48%	-1.4	n=12
+ at this venue	7-10	41%from 48%	-1.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 41%	-1.4	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.