Oregon State at Colorado State—

ST Model Colorado State -3.4

Trends · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Oregon State — the basics

134 graded games since 2014

on the road	25-34	42%	-2.1	n=59
in a conference game	43-44	49%	-0.7	n=87
vs an FBS opponent	57-67	46%	-2.0	n=124
vs a P5 opponent	47-55	46%	-1.9	n=102
vs the Pac-12	43-44	49%	-0.7	n=87
in October	18-22	45%	-2.0	n=40
in the last 5 seasons	31-31	50%	+0.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Oregon State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -6.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 134 graded games: -1.5 pts vs their number per game	n=134
Oregon State has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

Oregon State — combinations

31 lean Oregon State · 60 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 61% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
vs the Pac-12 + in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	21-19	53%from 46%	+0.5	n=40
in a conference game + in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	-0.6	n=11
vs the Pac-12 + in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	-0.6	n=11
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	43-44	49%from 49%	-0.7	n=87
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
+ in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	-0.6	n=11
+ vs a P5 opponent	43-44	49%from 49%	-0.7	n=87
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
+ in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33
+ vs the Pac-12	43-44	49%from 49%	-0.7	n=87
+ vs the Pac-12	43-44	49%from 49%	-0.7	n=87
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
+ in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33
in a conference game + vs a P5 opponent	43-44	49%from 49%	-0.7	n=87
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
+ in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 52%	-0.6	n=11
+ vs the Pac-12	43-44	49%from 49%	-0.7	n=87
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-12	60%from 49%	+3.0	n=30
+ in October	17-16	52%from 49%	-0.8	n=33

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Colorado State — the basics

135 graded games since 2014

at home	28-36	44%	-3.4	n=64
in a conference game	40-49	45%	-0.7	n=89
vs an FBS opponent	56-70	44%	-2.0	n=126
vs a P5 opponent	10-15	40%	-5.9	n=25
vs the Pac-12	3-9	25%	-11.5	n=12
in October	20-22	48%	-1.4	n=42
at this venue	19-30	39%	-4.9	n=49
in the last 5 seasons	25-35	42%	-3.9	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Colorado State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -8.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 135 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game	n=135
Colorado State has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Colorado State — combinations

11 lean Colorado State · 55 lean against

Read this first. 74 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 48%	+0.2	n=20
vs an FBS opponent + in October	20-22	48%from 44%	-1.4	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 48%	+0.2	n=20
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 48%	-0.7	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 47%	+5.3	n=10
in October + at this venue	7-8	47%from 48%	-0.7	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 47%	+5.3	n=10
at home + vs an FBS opponent	26-31	46%from 44%	-2.4	n=57
+ at this venue	18-25	42%from 46%	-3.6	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-17	39%from 42%	-4.8	n=28
+ in October	9-13	41%from 46%	-3.0	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 41%	+5.3	n=10
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 41%	-0.7	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-17	39%from 46%	-4.8	n=28
+ vs a P5 opponent	2-4	33%from 46%	-6.2	n=6
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 33%	-7.8	n=5
at home + in a conference game	20-24	45%from 44%	-1.4	n=44
+ vs an FBS opponent	20-24	45%from 45%	-1.4	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 45%	-1.2	n=20
+ at this venue	14-19	42%from 45%	-2.1	n=33
+ in October	8-13	38%from 45%	-3.6	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 45%	-1.2	n=20
+ at this venue	14-19	42%from 45%	-2.1	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 42%	-1.2	n=20
+ in October	8-13	38%from 45%	-3.6	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 38%	+5.3	n=10
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 38%	-0.7	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.