Colorado State at Utah State

ST Model Utah State -10.5
Trends · 2026 week 9
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Colorado State — the basics
135 graded games since 2014
on the road29-3049%+0.5n=59
vs Utah State5-550%+2.4n=10
in a conference game40-4945%-0.7n=89
vs an FBS opponent56-7044%-2.0n=126
vs a P5 opponent10-1540%-5.9n=25
vs the Pac-123-925%-11.5n=12
in October20-2248%-1.4n=42
at this venue2-340%-3.9n=5
in the last 5 seasons25-3542%-3.9n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Colorado State — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -8.9 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 135 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per gamen=135
Colorado State has failed to cover 2 straightn=2
Colorado State — combinations
12 lean Colorado State · 45 lean against
Read this first. 73 combinations shown. The best one here is 58%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + vs a P5 opponent7-558%from 49%-0.6n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons4-357%from 58%-0.9n=7
on the road + in October11-955%from 49%+0.4n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons5-550%from 55%-4.9n=10
in October + in the last 5 seasons11-955%from 48%+0.2n=20
on the road + in the last 5 seasons14-1450%from 49%-0.6n=28
vs Utah State + in a conference game5-550%from 50%+2.4n=10
+ vs an FBS opponent5-550%from 50%+2.4n=10
+ in October3-443%from 50%-1.7n=7
+ at this venue2-340%from 50%-3.9n=5
+ in October3-443%from 50%-1.7n=7
+ at this venue2-340%from 50%-3.9n=5
vs Utah State + vs an FBS opponent5-550%from 50%+2.4n=10
+ in October3-443%from 50%-1.7n=7
+ at this venue2-340%from 50%-3.9n=5
on the road + vs an FBS opponent29-3049%from 49%+0.5n=59
+ vs a P5 opponent7-558%from 49%-0.6n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons4-357%from 58%-0.9n=7
+ in October11-955%from 49%+0.4n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons5-550%from 55%-4.9n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons14-1450%from 49%-0.6n=28
+ at this venue2-340%from 49%-3.9n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in October20-2248%from 44%-1.4n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons11-955%from 48%+0.2n=20
on the road + in a conference game20-2445%from 49%+0.1n=44
+ in October10-953%from 45%+0.3n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons4-544%from 53%-5.7n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent20-2445%from 45%+0.1n=44
+ in October10-953%from 45%+0.3n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons8-1142%from 45%-2.8n=19
+ at this venue2-340%from 45%-3.9n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons8-1142%from 45%-2.8n=19
+ at this venue2-340%from 45%-3.9n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.