How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
San Diego State — the basics
146 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 38-27 | 58% | +1.9 | n=65 |
| vs Boise State | 5-3 | 63% | +0.4 | n=8 |
| in a conference game | 54-39 | 58% | +1.5 | n=93 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 77-59 | 57% | +1.5 | n=136 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 13-13 | 50% | +1.8 | n=26 |
| vs the Pac-12 | 8-10 | 44% | -0.7 | n=18 |
| in November | 25-22 | 53% | +0.6 | n=47 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 34-28 | 55% | -0.2 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
San Diego State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 146 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=146 |
San Diego State — combinations
21 lean San Diego State · 22 lean against
Read this first. 58 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 78% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boise State + in a conference game | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | +0.4 | n=8 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | +0.4 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 63% | 0.0 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 63% | 0.0 | n=5 |
| vs Boise State + vs an FBS opponent | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | +0.4 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 63% | 0.0 | n=5 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 28-18 | 61%from 58% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 28-18 | 61%from 61% | +3.2 | n=46 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 61% | -1.4 | n=19 |
| + in November | 10-10 | 50%from 61% | -0.0 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 61% | -1.4 | n=19 |
| + in November | 10-10 | 50%from 61% | -0.0 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 50% | -6.2 | n=9 |
| vs Boise State + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 63% | 0.0 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 38-27 | 58%from 58% | +1.9 | n=65 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 58% | -0.7 | n=26 |
| + in November | 10-11 | 48%from 58% | -0.3 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 48% | -6.2 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-8 | 47%from 58% | +0.2 | n=15 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 4-6 | 40%from 47% | -0.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 47% | +1.0 | n=5 |
| + vs the Pac-12 | 4-6 | 40%from 58% | -0.8 | n=10 |
| in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent | 54-39 | 58%from 58% | +1.5 | n=93 |
| + in November | 25-20 | 56%from 58% | +0.9 | n=45 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 56% | +0.1 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-18 | 54%from 58% | -0.9 | n=39 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.