UConn at Temple—

ST Model UConn -5.2

Trends · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

UConn — the basics

127 graded games since 2014

on the road	25-32	44%	-1.6	n=57
vs Temple	1-6	14%	-9.1	n=7
out of conference	37-42	47%	-0.3	n=79
vs an FBS opponent	51-66	44%	-1.0	n=117
vs a G5 opponent	38-50	43%	-1.1	n=88
vs the American Athletic	24-34	41%	-1.9	n=58
in October	21-18	54%	+2.7	n=39
in the last 5 seasons	35-25	58%	+2.5	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

UConn — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +3.3 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 127 graded games: -1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=127
UConn has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

UConn — combinations

34 lean UConn · 46 lean against

Read this first. 102 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 54%	+5.9	n=17
on the road + in October	12-8	60%from 44%	+3.1	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 60%	+5.1	n=8
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	34-24	59%from 47%	+2.5	n=58
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	20-15	57%from 43%	+3.7	n=35
out of conference + in October	12-9	57%from 47%	+3.4	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 57%	+5.9	n=17
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	30-24	56%from 44%	+1.8	n=54
vs a G5 opponent + in October	16-13	55%from 43%	+3.5	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 55%	+6.2	n=11
vs an FBS opponent + in October	20-18	53%from 44%	+2.5	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 53%	+5.7	n=16
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	14-13	52%from 44%	-1.3	n=27
out of conference + vs the American Athletic	6-6	50%from 47%	+1.1	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=12
+ in October	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.6	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 40%	-1.6	n=5
vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 41%	+1.1	n=12
vs the American Athletic + in October	11-12	48%from 41%	+1.1	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 48%	-1.6	n=5
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent	20-22	48%from 47%	+0.8	n=42
+ in October	7-4	64%from 48%	+6.2	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+6.2	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-15	57%from 48%	+3.7	n=35
+ vs the American Athletic	6-6	50%from 48%	+1.1	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	+1.1	n=12
+ in October	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.6	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Temple — the basics

143 graded games since 2014

at home	41-31	57%	+1.8	n=72
vs UConn	6-1	86%	+9.1	n=7
out of conference	23-23	50%	-1.1	n=46
vs an FBS opponent	68-66	51%	-0.6	n=134
vs a P5 opponent	11-15	42%	-4.7	n=26
vs the FBS Independents	4-4	50%	-2.8	n=8
in October	22-22	50%	-1.4	n=44
at this venue	41-31	57%	+1.8	n=72
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-3.2	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Temple — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 143 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=143
Temple has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Temple — combinations

26 lean Temple · 36 lean against

Read this first. 99 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs UConn + vs an FBS opponent	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.1	n=7
at home + in October	12-8	60%from 57%	+1.7	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 60%	-2.2	n=8
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 60%	+1.7	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 60%	-2.2	n=8
in October + at this venue	12-8	60%from 50%	+1.7	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 60%	-2.2	n=8
at home + at this venue	41-31	57%from 57%	+1.8	n=72
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 57%	+0.0	n=32
at home + out of conference	14-11	56%from 57%	+2.5	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 56%	+3.7	n=12
+ at this venue	14-11	56%from 56%	+2.5	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 56%	+3.7	n=12
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-8	50%from 56%	+2.1	n=16
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 50%	+2.1	n=16
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	+2.9	n=8
+ vs the FBS Independents	2-3	40%from 50%	-4.3	n=5
+ vs a P5 opponent	6-6	50%from 56%	+0.8	n=12
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 50%	+0.8	n=12
+ vs the FBS Independents	2-3	40%from 50%	-4.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-0.4	n=5
+ vs the FBS Independents	2-3	40%from 56%	-4.3	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 40%	-4.3	n=5
out of conference + at this venue	14-11	56%from 50%	+2.5	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 56%	+3.7	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.