How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Massachusetts — the basics
131 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 32-38 | 46% | -2.8 | n=70 |
| vs UConn | 3-3 | 50% | -0.8 | n=6 |
| out of conference | 43-59 | 42% | -2.8 | n=102 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 51-69 | 43% | -3.1 | n=120 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 21-25 | 46% | -0.4 | n=46 |
| vs the FBS Independents | 8-12 | 40% | -2.4 | n=20 |
| in October | 16-23 | 41% | -2.7 | n=39 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 23-36 | 39% | -4.8 | n=59 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Massachusetts — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -12.4 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 131 graded games: -3.3 pts vs their number per game | n=131 |
Massachusetts — combinations
7 lean Massachusetts · 71 lean against
Read this first. 87 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs the FBS Independents + in October | 3-2 | 60%from 40% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| vs UConn + vs an FBS opponent | 3-3 | 50%from 50% | -0.8 | n=6 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 32-38 | 46%from 46% | -2.8 | n=70 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 13-17 | 43%from 46% | -0.5 | n=30 |
| + in October | 2-3 | 40%from 43% | -3.8 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-9 | 36%from 43% | -1.5 | n=14 |
| + vs the FBS Independents | 3-7 | 30%from 43% | -2.4 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-17 | 43%from 46% | -3.1 | n=30 |
| + in October | 7-11 | 39%from 46% | -4.5 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-5 | 29%from 39% | -9.2 | n=7 |
| + vs the FBS Independents | 3-7 | 30%from 46% | -2.4 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 30% | +3.3 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent | 21-25 | 46%from 43% | -0.4 | n=46 |
| + in October | 4-5 | 44%from 46% | -2.4 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 44% | -4.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-13 | 41%from 46% | -1.3 | n=22 |
| + vs the FBS Independents | 8-12 | 40%from 46% | -2.4 | n=20 |
| + in October | 3-2 | 60%from 40% | +4.0 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 40% | +0.2 | n=11 |
| vs the FBS Independents + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 40% | +0.2 | n=11 |
| out of conference + vs a P5 opponent | 18-22 | 45%from 42% | -0.1 | n=40 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-10 | 38%from 45% | -0.8 | n=16 |
| + vs the FBS Independents | 5-9 | 36%from 45% | -2.4 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 36% | +3.3 | n=5 |
| + in October | 2-4 | 33%from 45% | -5.7 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 33% | -9.8 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.