How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
James Madison — the basics
56 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 19-10 | 66% | +4.3 | n=29 |
| out of conference | 15-9 | 63% | +3.9 | n=24 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 32-20 | 62% | +5.1 | n=52 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 5-5 | 50% | -0.8 | n=10 |
| in November | 9-6 | 60% | +8.0 | n=15 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 31-20 | 61% | +4.7 | n=51 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
James Madison — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +7.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 56 graded games: +4.4 pts vs their number per game | n=56 |
James Madison — combinations
25 lean James Madison · 0 lean against
Read this first. 38 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + out of conference | 9-4 | 69%from 66% | +4.2 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-2 | 75%from 69% | +5.4 | n=8 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 9-4 | 69%from 69% | +4.2 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-2 | 75%from 69% | +5.4 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-4 | 50%from 69% | -1.2 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-4 | 50%from 69% | -1.2 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 50% | +2.8 | n=5 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 16-8 | 67%from 66% | +4.7 | n=24 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 19-10 | 66%from 66% | +4.3 | n=29 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-8 | 67%from 66% | +4.7 | n=24 |
| + in November | 5-3 | 63%from 66% | +9.0 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | +9.0 | n=8 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 4-4 | 50%from 66% | -1.2 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 50% | +2.8 | n=5 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 13-7 | 65%from 63% | +5.5 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-5 | 67%from 65% | +6.6 | n=15 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 65% | -0.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 50% | +2.3 | n=7 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 12-7 | 63%from 63% | +4.3 | n=19 |
| on the road + in November | 5-3 | 63%from 66% | +9.0 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | +9.0 | n=8 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 29-18 | 62%from 62% | +5.4 | n=47 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in November | 9-6 | 60%from 62% | +8.0 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 60% | +8.0 | n=15 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 60% | +8.0 | n=15 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.