Old Dominion at UConn

ST Model UConn -5.6
Trends · 2026 week 12
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Old Dominion — the basics
131 graded games since 2014
on the road37-2758%+1.7n=64
out of conference23-2251%+1.5n=45
vs an FBS opponent62-6150%+0.8n=123
vs a P5 opponent13-1057%+2.8n=23
vs the FBS Independents2-340%-7.7n=5
in November24-1857%+3.6n=42
in the last 5 seasons35-2756%+4.2n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Old Dominion — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +4.1 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 131 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per gamen=131
Old Dominion — combinations
31 lean Old Dominion · 7 lean against
Read this first. 46 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + in the last 5 seasons20-1067%from 58%+4.5n=30
on the road + in November13-765%from 58%+3.5n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons8-280%from 65%+6.2n=10
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons7-464%from 57%+5.6n=11
on the road + out of conference12-860%from 58%+2.1n=20
+ vs an FBS opponent12-860%from 60%+2.1n=20
+ vs a P5 opponent9-660%from 60%+2.0n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons6-460%from 60%+5.0n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent9-660%from 60%+2.0n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons5-271%from 60%+7.9n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons6-460%from 60%+5.0n=10
on the road + vs a P5 opponent9-660%from 58%+2.0n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons5-271%from 60%+7.9n=7
on the road + vs an FBS opponent37-2758%from 58%+1.7n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons20-1067%from 58%+4.5n=30
+ in November13-765%from 58%+3.5n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons8-280%from 65%+6.2n=10
+ vs a P5 opponent9-660%from 58%+2.0n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons5-271%from 60%+7.9n=7
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent13-1057%from 51%+2.8n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons7-464%from 57%+5.6n=11
+ vs the FBS Independents2-340%from 57%-7.7n=5
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent13-1057%from 50%+2.8n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons7-464%from 57%+5.6n=11
+ vs the FBS Independents2-340%from 57%-7.7n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.