Tulsa at Sam Houston—

ST Model Tulsa -6.5

Trends · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Tulsa — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

on the road	42-29	59%	+1.0	n=71
out of conference	25-24	51%	+1.0	n=49
vs an FBS opponent	67-66	50%	-1.1	n=133
vs a G5 opponent	58-62	48%	-1.2	n=120
vs the Conference USA	2-3	40%	-9.5	n=5
in September	19-24	44%	-0.6	n=43
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-4.3	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Tulsa — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=139

Tulsa — combinations

28 lean Tulsa · 25 lean against

Read this first. 64 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + in September	14-7	67%from 59%	+2.2	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 67%	+1.8	n=11
on the road + out of conference	15-8	65%from 59%	+1.7	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 65%	+4.5	n=10
+ in September	14-5	74%from 65%	+4.2	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 74%	+4.5	n=10
+ vs an FBS opponent	15-8	65%from 65%	+1.7	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 65%	+4.5	n=10
+ in September	14-5	74%from 65%	+4.2	n=19
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 65%	-0.5	n=11
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 65%	-0.5	n=11
+ in September	6-4	60%from 55%	+0.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 55%	+0.6	n=5
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	42-29	59%from 59%	+1.0	n=71
+ in September	14-7	67%from 59%	+2.2	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 67%	+1.8	n=11
+ vs a G5 opponent	33-26	56%from 59%	+0.4	n=59
+ in September	6-6	50%from 56%	-2.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-14	44%from 56%	-4.6	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-14	53%from 59%	-2.5	n=30
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 51%	+1.6	n=21
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	33-26	56%from 59%	+0.4	n=59
+ in September	6-6	50%from 56%	-2.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 50%	-3.7	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-14	44%from 56%	-4.6	n=25

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Sam Houston — the basics

45 graded games since 2014

at home	4-8	33%	-6.0	n=12
out of conference	9-8	53%	+1.1	n=17
vs an FBS opponent	17-23	43%	-2.3	n=40
vs a G5 opponent	16-22	42%	-2.3	n=38
in September	6-6	50%	-2.8	n=12
at this venue	4-8	33%	-6.0	n=12
in the last 5 seasons	19-24	44%	-2.2	n=43

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Sam Houston — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -8.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 45 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game	n=45
Sam Houston has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Sam Houston — combinations

14 lean Sam Houston · 25 lean against

Read this first. 50 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs a G5 opponent + in September	4-2	67%from 42%	+3.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.8	n=6
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 53%	+2.8	n=15
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent	6-4	60%from 53%	+4.9	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 60%	+5.6	n=9
in September + in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 50%	-0.9	n=11
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	8-8	50%from 53%	+0.2	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 50%	+2.0	n=14
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-4	56%from 50%	+3.8	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 56%	+4.5	n=8
+ in September	5-5	50%from 50%	-3.8	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	-1.6	n=9
vs an FBS opponent + in September	6-6	50%from 43%	-2.8	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 50%	-0.9	n=11
out of conference + in September	5-5	50%from 53%	-3.8	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	-1.6	n=9
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	17-21	45%from 43%	-1.8	n=38
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	16-21	43%from 42%	-2.3	n=37
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	14-19	42%from 43%	-1.9	n=33
+ in September	4-2	67%from 42%	+3.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.8	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-18	44%from 42%	-1.9	n=32
+ at this venue	4-6	40%from 42%	-2.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10
at home + vs an FBS opponent	4-6	40%from 33%	-2.6	n=10
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10
+ at this venue	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10
+ at this venue	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 40%	-2.6	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.