UL Monroe at UAB

ST Model UAB -10.7
Trends · 2026 week 2
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
UL Monroe — the basics
139 graded games since 2014
on the road32-4442%-2.7n=76
out of conference19-2840%-2.3n=47
vs an FBS opponent53-7342%-1.7n=126
vs a G5 opponent48-6244%-1.3n=110
in September19-2049%+0.8n=39
in the last 5 seasons26-3443%-0.4n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
UL Monroe — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -8.1 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 139 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per gamen=139
UL Monroe has covered 2 straightn=2
UL Monroe — combinations
15 lean UL Monroe · 29 lean against
Read this first. 52 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs a G5 opponent + in September15-963%from 44%+4.7n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons8-189%from 63%+14.1n=9
in September + in the last 5 seasons9-756%from 49%+4.6n=16
on the road + vs a G5 opponent25-2550%from 42%-0.7n=50
+ in September6-0100%from 50%+13.6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1148%from 50%-1.3n=21
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent9-950%from 40%+0.2n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons5-271%from 50%+9.4n=7
+ in September8-467%from 50%+3.8n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons4-180%from 67%+11.2n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in September15-1747%from 42%+0.8n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons7-654%from 47%+5.0n=13
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons22-2547%from 44%+0.4n=47
on the road + in September9-1145%from 42%-0.8n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons2-625%from 45%-5.6n=8
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 40%+0.9n=20
out of conference + in September12-1544%from 40%-1.4n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons5-742%from 44%+0.3n=12
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent43-5444%from 42%-1.1n=97
+ in September11-665%from 44%+6.4n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons6-0100%from 65%+19.8n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons19-2345%from 44%+0.1n=42
on the road + vs an FBS opponent32-4243%from 42%-2.4n=74
+ vs a G5 opponent25-2352%from 43%-0.2n=48
+ in September6-0100%from 52%+13.6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1148%from 52%-1.3n=21
+ in September9-1145%from 43%-0.8n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons2-625%from 45%-5.6n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons12-2038%from 43%-3.8n=32
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.