How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
East Carolina — the basics
140 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 33-31 | 52% | -0.8 | n=64 |
| out of conference | 29-20 | 59% | +2.8 | n=49 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 63-66 | 49% | +0.1 | n=129 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 54-62 | 47% | -0.2 | n=116 |
| vs the Sun Belt | 4-5 | 44% | +1.2 | n=9 |
| in September | 25-21 | 54% | +1.8 | n=46 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 36-26 | 58% | +3.1 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
East Carolina — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +8.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 140 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game | n=140 |
| East Carolina has covered 2 straight | n=2 |
East Carolina — combinations
30 lean East Carolina · 37 lean against
Read this first. 89 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 15-8 | 65%from 59% | +5.7 | n=23 |
| on the road + out of conference | 12-8 | 60%from 52% | -0.2 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 60% | +6.4 | n=9 |
| + in September | 9-5 | 64%from 60% | +3.0 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 64% | +6.4 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 12-8 | 60%from 60% | -0.2 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 60% | +6.4 | n=9 |
| + in September | 9-5 | 64%from 60% | +3.0 | n=14 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 4-4 | 50%from 60% | +2.7 | n=8 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 2-3 | 40%from 60% | +1.0 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 4-4 | 50%from 60% | +2.7 | n=8 |
| + in September | 4-3 | 57%from 50% | +6.1 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 50% | +6.2 | n=6 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +1.0 | n=5 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 2-3 | 40%from 60% | +1.0 | n=5 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 16-11 | 59%from 52% | +2.2 | n=27 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 22-16 | 58%from 59% | +2.3 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-7 | 61%from 58% | +4.7 | n=18 |
| + in September | 15-12 | 56%from 58% | +2.8 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-7 | 46%from 56% | +2.4 | n=13 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-5 | 44%from 58% | +1.2 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 44% | +4.1 | n=8 |
| + in September | 3-4 | 43%from 44% | +2.3 | n=7 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 6-8 | 43%from 58% | +0.4 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 43% | +4.3 | n=10 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-5 | 44%from 43% | +1.2 | n=9 |
| + in September | 5-7 | 42%from 43% | +0.8 | n=12 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.