Temple at Toledo

ST Model Toledo -18.2
Trends · 2026 week 3
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Temple — the basics
143 graded games since 2014
on the road32-3448%-1.5n=66
out of conference23-2350%-1.1n=46
vs an FBS opponent68-6651%-0.6n=134
vs a G5 opponent63-5454%+0.6n=117
vs the Mid-American2-433%-2.4n=6
in September20-2149%-0.8n=41
in the last 5 seasons26-3443%-3.2n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Temple — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 143 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per gamen=143
Temple has failed to cover 2 straightn=2
Temple — combinations
13 lean Temple · 36 lean against
Read this first. 61 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent12-860%from 50%+3.6n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 60%+10.2n=9
+ in September8-753%from 60%+1.8n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons6-275%from 53%+7.6n=8
+ vs the Mid-American2-433%from 60%-2.4n=6
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons11-955%from 50%+1.1n=20
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent57-5153%from 51%+0.3n=108
+ in September7-847%from 53%-1.3n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons3-443%from 47%-1.6n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons19-2642%from 53%-3.2n=45
+ vs the Mid-American2-433%from 53%-2.4n=6
vs a G5 opponent + in September12-1152%from 54%+0.3n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons6-555%from 52%+0.9n=11
on the road + out of conference8-850%from 48%-1.6n=16
+ vs a G5 opponent3-260%from 50%+3.7n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent8-850%from 50%-1.6n=16
+ vs a G5 opponent3-260%from 50%+3.7n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%-2.9n=8
+ in September4-640%from 50%-6.8n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons4-450%from 50%-2.9n=8
+ in September4-640%from 50%-6.8n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 40%-11.4n=5
on the road + vs a G5 opponent27-2849%from 48%-1.0n=55
+ in September3-538%from 49%-4.7n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons7-1532%from 49%-5.7n=22
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.