How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Navy — the basics
146 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 35-25 | 58% | +1.6 | n=60 |
| vs Air Force | 4-8 | 33% | -5.1 | n=12 |
| out of conference | 21-35 | 38% | -3.9 | n=56 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 74-65 | 53% | +1.3 | n=139 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 67-52 | 56% | +2.4 | n=119 |
| vs the Mountain West | 4-9 | 31% | -7.1 | n=13 |
| in October | 21-23 | 48% | +2.2 | n=44 |
| at this venue | 2-4 | 33% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 32-30 | 52% | +1.1 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Navy — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 146 graded games: +1.3 pts vs their number per game | n=146 |
Navy — combinations
23 lean Navy · 170 lean against
Read this first. 203 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 74% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 16-9 | 64%from 58% | +3.8 | n=25 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 34-20 | 63%from 58% | +2.3 | n=54 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-6 | 73%from 63% | +5.1 | n=22 |
| + in October | 9-7 | 56%from 63% | -0.8 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 56% | +6.2 | n=7 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 56% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 63% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 2-5 | 29%from 63% | -12.9 | n=7 |
| + in October | 2-4 | 33%from 29% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 29% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 35-25 | 58%from 58% | +1.6 | n=60 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-9 | 64%from 58% | +3.8 | n=25 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 34-20 | 63%from 58% | +2.3 | n=54 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-6 | 73%from 63% | +5.1 | n=22 |
| + in October | 9-7 | 56%from 63% | -0.8 | n=16 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 63% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 2-5 | 29%from 63% | -12.9 | n=7 |
| + in October | 9-8 | 53%from 58% | -0.8 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 53% | +6.2 | n=7 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 53% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 58% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 2-5 | 29%from 58% | -12.9 | n=7 |
| + in October | 2-4 | 33%from 29% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 29% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent | 64-48 | 57%from 53% | +2.5 | n=112 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 28-21 | 57%from 57% | +2.5 | n=49 |
| + in October | 21-20 | 51%from 57% | +3.0 | n=41 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 51% | +5.7 | n=18 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 51% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 57% | -9.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 4-9 | 31%from 57% | -7.1 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 31% | +0.6 | n=5 |
| + in October | 4-7 | 36%from 31% | -4.3 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 31% | -9.8 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.