Temple at South Florida—

ST Model South Florida -21.9

Trends · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Temple — the basics

143 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-34	48%	-1.5	n=66
vs South Florida	4-5	44%	-1.2	n=9
in a conference game	51-46	53%	-0.1	n=97
vs an FBS opponent	68-66	51%	-0.6	n=134
vs a G5 opponent	63-54	54%	+0.6	n=117
vs the American Athletic	51-46	53%	-0.1	n=97
in October	22-22	50%	-1.4	n=44
at this venue	2-3	40%	-9.3	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-3.2	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Temple — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 143 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=143
Temple has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Temple — combinations

11 lean Temple · 145 lean against

Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 54%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	57-51	53%from 51%	+0.3	n=108
+ vs the American Athletic	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ in October	19-22	46%from 53%	-2.1	n=41
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-25	38%from 53%	-5.3	n=40
+ in October	20-22	48%from 53%	-1.8	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 48%	-5.9	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-26	42%from 53%	-3.2	n=45
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ vs a G5 opponent	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ vs the American Athletic	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ in October	19-22	46%from 53%	-2.1	n=41
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-25	38%from 53%	-5.3	n=40
+ vs the American Athletic	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ in October	19-22	46%from 53%	-2.1	n=41
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-25	38%from 53%	-5.3	n=40
+ in October	19-22	46%from 53%	-2.1	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 46%	-5.9	n=17
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-25	38%from 53%	-5.3	n=40
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ vs the American Athletic	51-46	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=97
+ in October	19-22	46%from 53%	-2.1	n=41
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-25	38%from 53%	-5.3	n=40
+ in October	19-22	46%from 53%	-2.1	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 46%	-5.9	n=17
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 53%	-9.3	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-25	38%from 53%	-5.3	n=40

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

South Florida — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

at home	35-33	51%	-0.5	n=68
vs Temple	5-4	56%	+1.2	n=9
in a conference game	47-45	51%	+0.2	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	69-61	53%	+0.2	n=130
vs a G5 opponent	54-55	50%	+0.1	n=109
vs the American Athletic	47-45	51%	+0.2	n=92
in October	20-23	47%	-0.9	n=43
at this venue	35-33	51%	-0.5	n=68
in the last 5 seasons	32-28	53%	+2.0	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

South Florida — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +8.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=140

South Florida — combinations

129 lean South Florida · 52 lean against

Read this first. 204 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs Temple	3-2	60%from 51%	+9.3	n=5
+ in a conference game	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.3	n=5
vs Temple + at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+9.3	n=5
at home + in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 51%	+3.8	n=26
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 51%	+3.8	n=26
vs Temple + in a conference game	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ vs the American Athletic	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+9.3	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ vs the American Athletic	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	n=9
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+9.3	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.