Charlotte at North Texas—

ST Model North Texas -33

Trends · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Charlotte — the basics

124 graded games since 2014

on the road	35-26	57%	-0.1	n=61
in a conference game	41-40	51%	-2.0	n=81
vs an FBS opponent	54-60	47%	-2.8	n=114
vs a G5 opponent	51-55	48%	-2.6	n=106
vs the American Athletic	13-12	52%	-4.0	n=25
in October	19-19	50%	-0.7	n=38
in the last 5 seasons	27-31	47%	-3.8	n=58

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Charlotte — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 124 graded games: -2.7 pts vs their number per game	n=124
Charlotte has covered 2 straight	n=2

Charlotte — combinations

57 lean Charlotte · 26 lean against

Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs the American Athletic	10-2	83%from 57%	+1.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 83%	+1.2	n=11
on the road + in October	13-6	68%from 57%	+4.0	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 68%	+6.4	n=9
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	18-9	67%from 57%	+1.9	n=27
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	29-18	62%from 57%	+1.4	n=47
+ vs the American Athletic	10-2	83%from 62%	+1.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 83%	+1.2	n=11
+ in October	12-5	71%from 62%	+5.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 71%	+7.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 62%	+2.0	n=20
on the road + in a conference game	24-16	60%from 57%	+0.8	n=40
+ vs the American Athletic	9-2	82%from 60%	+1.2	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 82%	+1.2	n=11
+ in October	12-5	71%from 60%	+5.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 71%	+7.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 60%	+1.5	n=18
+ vs an FBS opponent	24-16	60%from 60%	+0.8	n=40
+ vs the American Athletic	9-2	82%from 60%	+1.2	n=11
+ in October	12-5	71%from 60%	+5.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 60%	+1.5	n=18
+ vs a G5 opponent	24-16	60%from 60%	+0.8	n=40
+ vs a G5 opponent	24-16	60%from 60%	+0.8	n=40
+ vs the American Athletic	9-2	82%from 60%	+1.2	n=11
+ in October	12-5	71%from 60%	+5.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 60%	+1.5	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

North Texas — the basics

149 graded games since 2014

at home	36-35	51%	+2.2	n=71
in a conference game	45-50	47%	-0.1	n=95
vs an FBS opponent	66-71	48%	-0.2	n=137
vs a G5 opponent	60-72	45%	-0.7	n=132
vs the American Athletic	18-17	51%	+0.8	n=35
in October	21-23	48%	-0.4	n=44
at this venue	36-35	51%	+2.2	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	39-27	59%	+3.0	n=66

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

North Texas — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +7.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 149 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=149
North Texas has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

North Texas — combinations

97 lean North Texas · 46 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	14-4	78%from 48%	+8.0	n=18
vs the American Athletic + in October	7-3	70%from 51%	+6.0	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+6.0	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 70%	+6.5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.5	n=5
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	27-14	66%from 47%	+5.3	n=41
in a conference game + vs the American Athletic	15-9	63%from 47%	+3.6	n=24
+ in October	7-3	70%from 63%	+6.0	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+6.0	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 70%	+6.5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-9	63%from 63%	+3.6	n=24
+ at this venue	7-5	58%from 63%	+4.4	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	+4.4	n=12
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	37-24	61%from 48%	+2.9	n=61
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	36-25	59%from 45%	+3.2	n=61
at home + in the last 5 seasons	18-13	58%from 51%	+4.0	n=31
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	18-13	58%from 51%	+4.0	n=31
vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 51%	+1.7	n=28
vs an FBS opponent + vs the American Athletic	18-17	51%from 48%	+0.8	n=35
+ in October	7-3	70%from 51%	+6.0	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+6.0	n=10
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 70%	+6.5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 51%	+1.7	n=28
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 51%	+1.8	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 50%	+1.9	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.