How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Memphis — the basics
144 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 30-29 | 51% | +2.1 | n=59 |
| vs Tulane | 5-7 | 42% | +2.5 | n=12 |
| in a conference game | 46-48 | 49% | +1.2 | n=94 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 67-67 | 50% | +1.8 | n=134 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 62-63 | 50% | +1.8 | n=125 |
| vs the American Athletic | 46-48 | 49% | +1.2 | n=94 |
| in October | 21-22 | 49% | +0.3 | n=43 |
| at this venue | 2-4 | 33% | -0.3 | n=6 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 30-32 | 48% | +1.3 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Memphis — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +0.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 144 graded games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game | n=144 |
| Memphis has failed to cover 4 straight | n=4 |
Memphis — combinations
1 lean Memphis · 165 lean against
Read this first. 188 combinations shown. The best one here is 51%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 30-29 | 51%from 51% | +2.1 | n=59 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-13 | 50%from 51% | +1.7 | n=26 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 26-27 | 49%from 51% | +1.5 | n=53 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-12 | 48%from 49% | +0.8 | n=23 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 21-25 | 46%from 49% | +0.6 | n=46 |
| + in October | 9-13 | 41%from 49% | -0.8 | n=22 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 49% | -0.3 | n=6 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 21-25 | 46%from 51% | +0.6 | n=46 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 46% | -1.0 | n=19 |
| + in October | 8-13 | 38%from 46% | -1.0 | n=21 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 46% | -0.3 | n=6 |
| + in October | 9-14 | 39%from 51% | -1.7 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 39% | -4.4 | n=9 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 51% | -0.3 | n=6 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 13-13 | 50%from 51% | +1.7 | n=26 |
| vs Tulane + in October | 3-3 | 50%from 42% | +6.3 | n=6 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 26-27 | 49%from 51% | +1.5 | n=53 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-12 | 48%from 49% | +0.8 | n=23 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 21-25 | 46%from 49% | +0.6 | n=46 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 46% | -1.0 | n=19 |
| + in October | 8-13 | 38%from 46% | -1.0 | n=21 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 46% | -0.3 | n=6 |
| + in October | 9-13 | 41%from 49% | -0.8 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 41% | -4.4 | n=9 |
| + at this venue | 2-4 | 33%from 49% | -0.3 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.