How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Florida Atlantic — the basics
139 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 34-34 | 50% | -0.5 | n=68 |
| in a conference game | 47-48 | 49% | +0.3 | n=95 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 63-69 | 48% | -0.2 | n=132 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 58-64 | 48% | +0.7 | n=122 |
| vs the American Athletic | 13-17 | 43% | -0.7 | n=30 |
| in October | 22-19 | 54% | +1.2 | n=41 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 25-33 | 43% | -1.6 | n=58 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Florida Atlantic — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 139 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=139 |
Florida Atlantic — combinations
52 lean Florida Atlantic · 32 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs the American Athletic + in October | 7-3 | 70%from 43% | +4.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | +4.8 | n=10 |
| on the road + vs the American Athletic | 7-5 | 58%from 50% | +7.8 | n=12 |
| + in October | 4-2 | 67%from 58% | +9.0 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +9.0 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 58% | +6.8 | n=11 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 54% | +3.4 | n=18 |
| on the road + in October | 11-9 | 55%from 50% | +1.4 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 55% | +3.7 | n=10 |
| in a conference game + in October | 22-19 | 54%from 49% | +1.2 | n=41 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 54% | +3.4 | n=18 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in October | 22-19 | 54%from 48% | +1.2 | n=41 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 54% | +3.4 | n=18 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in October | 22-19 | 54%from 48% | +1.2 | n=41 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 54% | +3.4 | n=18 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 24-22 | 52%from 50% | +1.1 | n=46 |
| + in October | 11-9 | 55%from 52% | +1.4 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 55% | +3.7 | n=10 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 6-5 | 55%from 52% | +6.8 | n=11 |
| + in October | 4-2 | 67%from 55% | +9.0 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 55% | +6.8 | n=11 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 24-22 | 52%from 52% | +1.1 | n=46 |
| + in October | 11-9 | 55%from 52% | +1.4 | n=20 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 6-5 | 55%from 52% | +6.8 | n=11 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 24-22 | 52%from 52% | +1.1 | n=46 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 52% | +0.5 | n=19 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 24-22 | 52%from 52% | +1.1 | n=46 |
| + in October | 11-9 | 55%from 52% | +1.4 | n=20 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 6-5 | 55%from 52% | +6.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 52% | +0.5 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 52% | +0.5 | n=19 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.