Tulsa at Rice—

ST Model Tulsa -0.7

Trends · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Tulsa — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

on the road	42-29	59%	+1.0	n=71
in a conference game	44-46	49%	-2.1	n=90
vs an FBS opponent	67-66	50%	-1.1	n=133
vs a G5 opponent	58-62	48%	-1.2	n=120
vs the American Athletic	44-46	49%	-2.1	n=90
in October	19-23	45%	-3.6	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-4.3	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Tulsa — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=139

Tulsa — combinations

23 lean Tulsa · 66 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 59%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 59% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	42-29	59%from 59%	+1.0	n=71
+ vs the American Athletic	27-21	56%from 59%	+0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-10	52%from 56%	-0.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 56%	-6.0	n=20
+ vs a G5 opponent	33-26	56%from 59%	+0.4	n=59
+ vs the American Athletic	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-11	50%from 56%	-1.2	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-14	44%from 56%	-4.6	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-14	53%from 59%	-2.5	n=30
+ in October	11-12	48%from 59%	-1.9	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-7	13%from 48%	-13.2	n=8
on the road + in a conference game	27-21	56%from 59%	+0.6	n=48
+ vs an FBS opponent	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ vs a G5 opponent	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ vs the American Athletic	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-10	52%from 56%	-0.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 56%	-6.0	n=20
+ vs a G5 opponent	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ vs the American Athletic	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-10	52%from 56%	-0.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 56%	-6.0	n=20
+ vs the American Athletic	27-21	56%from 56%	+0.6	n=48
+ in October	11-10	52%from 56%	-0.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 56%	-6.0	n=20
+ in October	11-10	52%from 56%	-0.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-7	13%from 52%	-13.2	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 56%	-6.0	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Rice — the basics

136 graded games since 2014

at home	31-34	48%	-1.9	n=65
in a conference game	45-45	50%	-2.0	n=90
vs an FBS opponent	63-66	49%	-2.0	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	55-55	50%	-1.5	n=110
vs the American Athletic	14-12	54%	-1.7	n=26
in October	19-22	46%	-2.7	n=41
at this venue	31-34	48%	-1.9	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	28-33	46%	-2.5	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Rice — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -7.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 136 graded games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game	n=136
Rice has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

Rice — combinations

76 lean Rice · 49 lean against

Read this first. 151 combinations shown. The best one here is 64%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs the American Athletic	8-5	62%from 48%	+0.8	n=13
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 62%	+0.8	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 62%	+0.2	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 62%	+0.2	n=12
vs the American Athletic + at this venue	8-5	62%from 54%	+0.8	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 62%	+0.2	n=12
vs the American Athletic + in October	4-3	57%from 54%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.4	n=7
at home + in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 48%	-0.2	n=31
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 48%	-0.2	n=31
in a conference game + vs the American Athletic	12-10	55%from 50%	-0.9	n=22
+ at this venue	7-4	64%from 55%	+2.9	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+2.9	n=11
+ in October	4-3	57%from 55%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 55%	-0.9	n=22
vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons	13-11	54%from 54%	-1.7	n=24
vs an FBS opponent + vs the American Athletic	14-12	54%from 49%	-1.7	n=26
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 54%	+0.8	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 62%	+0.2	n=12
+ in October	4-3	57%from 54%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-11	54%from 54%	-1.7	n=24
vs a G5 opponent + vs the American Athletic	14-12	54%from 50%	-1.7	n=26
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 54%	+0.8	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 62%	+0.2	n=12
+ in October	4-3	57%from 54%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.4	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-11	54%from 54%	-1.7	n=24

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.