Kent State at South Florida—

ST Model South Florida -31.1

Trends · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Kent State — the basics

132 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-41	43%	-2.8	n=72
out of conference	19-24	44%	-0.9	n=43
vs an FBS opponent	55-67	45%	-2.2	n=122
vs a G5 opponent	50-54	48%	-1.6	n=104
in October	20-20	50%	-1.5	n=40
in the last 5 seasons	24-38	39%	-2.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Kent State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +5.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 132 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=132

Kent State — combinations

1 lean Kent State · 33 lean against

Read this first. 41 combinations shown. The best one here is 53%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent	8-7	53%from 44%	+1.5	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 53%	-0.4	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + in October	20-20	50%from 45%	-1.5	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-11	39%from 50%	-3.2	n=18
vs a G5 opponent + in October	18-19	49%from 48%	-2.0	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 49%	-3.5	n=17
on the road + in October	11-12	48%from 43%	-2.2	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 48%	-7.0	n=10
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	44-50	47%from 45%	-2.2	n=94
+ in October	18-19	49%from 47%	-2.0	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 49%	-3.5	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-27	37%from 47%	-3.1	n=43
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	21-24	47%from 43%	-2.5	n=45
+ in October	10-11	48%from 47%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 48%	-8.1	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-13	38%from 47%	-2.6	n=21
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	31-41	43%from 43%	-2.8	n=72
+ in October	11-12	48%from 43%	-2.2	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 48%	-7.0	n=10
+ vs a G5 opponent	21-24	47%from 43%	-2.5	n=45
+ in October	10-11	48%from 47%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-13	38%from 47%	-2.6	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-22	37%from 43%	-2.3	n=35
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	19-29	40%from 48%	-2.2	n=48
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	13-20	39%from 44%	-2.3	n=33
+ vs a G5 opponent	2-3	40%from 39%	-2.6	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-11	31%from 39%	-3.3	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

South Florida — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

at home	35-33	51%	-0.5	n=68
out of conference	26-22	54%	-0.3	n=48
vs an FBS opponent	69-61	53%	+0.2	n=130
vs a G5 opponent	54-55	50%	+0.1	n=109
in October	20-23	47%	-0.9	n=43
at this venue	35-33	51%	-0.5	n=68
in the last 5 seasons	32-28	53%	+2.0	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

South Florida — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +8.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=140

South Florida — combinations

33 lean South Florida · 29 lean against

Read this first. 79 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 77% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	22-16	58%from 54%	+0.3	n=38
+ at this venue	9-6	60%from 58%	-0.5	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+4.5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 58%	+3.6	n=17
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-4	43%from 58%	+3.2	n=7
at home + in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 51%	+3.8	n=26
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 51%	+3.8	n=26
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	31-25	55%from 53%	+2.4	n=56
at home + vs an FBS opponent	31-27	53%from 51%	-0.1	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 53%	+5.0	n=22
+ at this venue	31-27	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 53%	+5.0	n=22
+ vs a G5 opponent	24-22	52%from 53%	+0.8	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 52%	+6.6	n=18
+ at this venue	24-22	52%from 52%	+0.8	n=46
+ in October	7-10	41%from 52%	-4.4	n=17
+ in October	9-10	47%from 53%	-2.7	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 47%	-1.9	n=6
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 47%	-2.7	n=19
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	31-27	53%from 53%	-0.1	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 53%	+5.0	n=22
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 54%	+2.4	n=21
at home + out of conference	13-12	52%from 51%	-1.3	n=25
+ vs an FBS opponent	9-6	60%from 52%	-0.5	n=15
+ at this venue	9-6	60%from 60%	-0.5	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+4.5	n=5
+ at this venue	13-12	52%from 52%	-1.3	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	+1.2	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-7	46%from 52%	+0.8	n=13
+ at this venue	6-7	46%from 46%	+0.8	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 46%	+3.9	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	+1.2	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.