How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Army — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 29-22 | 57% | +2.0 | n=51 |
| in a conference game | 12-9 | 57% | +3.8 | n=21 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 63-61 | 51% | +1.0 | n=124 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 57-52 | 52% | +1.4 | n=109 |
| vs the American Athletic | 23-15 | 61% | +5.3 | n=38 |
| in October | 13-27 | 33% | -6.0 | n=40 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 34-28 | 55% | +2.0 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Army — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +2.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 141 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=141 |
| Army has covered 3 straight | n=3 |
Army — combinations
68 lean Army · 8 lean against
Read this first. 88 combinations shown. The best one here is 89%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in a conference game | 8-1 | 89%from 57% | +10.2 | n=9 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 8-1 | 89%from 89% | +10.2 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-1 | 89%from 89% | +10.2 | n=9 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 89% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 7-1 | 88%from 89% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-1 | 89%from 89% | +10.2 | n=9 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 7-1 | 88%from 89% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 7-1 | 88%from 89% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-1 | 88%from 88% | +9.3 | n=8 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 15-6 | 71%from 57% | +5.1 | n=21 |
| on the road + vs the American Athletic | 10-4 | 71%from 57% | +7.3 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-1 | 89%from 71% | +9.9 | n=9 |
| vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons | 15-8 | 65%from 61% | +4.7 | n=23 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the American Athletic | 23-15 | 61%from 51% | +5.3 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-8 | 65%from 61% | +4.7 | n=23 |
| + in October | 4-4 | 50%from 61% | +4.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 50% | +8.0 | n=6 |
| vs a G5 opponent + vs the American Athletic | 23-15 | 61%from 52% | +5.3 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-8 | 65%from 61% | +4.7 | n=23 |
| + in October | 4-4 | 50%from 61% | +4.6 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 50% | +8.0 | n=6 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 28-19 | 60%from 52% | +3.5 | n=47 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 29-21 | 58%from 57% | +2.4 | n=50 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-6 | 71%from 58% | +5.1 | n=21 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 10-4 | 71%from 58% | +7.3 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-1 | 89%from 71% | +9.9 | n=9 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 21-15 | 58%from 58% | +2.1 | n=36 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-4 | 73%from 58% | +6.1 | n=15 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 10-4 | 71%from 58% | +7.3 | n=14 |
| + in October | 6-5 | 55%from 58% | -1.1 | n=11 |
| + in October | 8-9 | 47%from 58% | -3.0 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 47% | -2.9 | n=7 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.