How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Rice — the basics
136 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 34-31 | 52% | -1.0 | n=65 |
| in a conference game | 45-45 | 50% | -2.0 | n=90 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 63-66 | 49% | -2.0 | n=129 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 55-55 | 50% | -1.5 | n=110 |
| vs the American Athletic | 14-12 | 54% | -1.7 | n=26 |
| in October | 19-22 | 46% | -2.7 | n=41 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 28-33 | 46% | -2.5 | n=61 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Rice — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -7.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 136 graded games: -1.7 pts vs their number per game | n=136 |
| Rice has failed to cover 3 straight | n=3 |
Rice — combinations
47 lean Rice · 25 lean against
Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in October | 11-7 | 61%from 52% | +2.1 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 61% | +0.6 | n=8 |
| vs the American Athletic + in October | 4-3 | 57%from 54% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 57% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 27-22 | 55%from 52% | -0.3 | n=49 |
| + in October | 10-6 | 63%from 55% | +1.0 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 63% | +0.7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-11 | 48%from 55% | -2.0 | n=21 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 6-7 | 46%from 55% | -4.2 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-6 | 50%from 46% | -3.5 | n=12 |
| in a conference game + vs the American Athletic | 12-10 | 55%from 50% | -0.9 | n=22 |
| + in October | 4-3 | 57%from 55% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 57% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-10 | 55%from 55% | -0.9 | n=22 |
| vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons | 13-11 | 54%from 54% | -1.7 | n=24 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the American Athletic | 14-12 | 54%from 49% | -1.7 | n=26 |
| + in October | 4-3 | 57%from 54% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 57% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-11 | 54%from 54% | -1.7 | n=24 |
| vs a G5 opponent + vs the American Athletic | 14-12 | 54%from 50% | -1.7 | n=26 |
| + in October | 4-3 | 57%from 54% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 57% | -0.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-11 | 54%from 54% | -1.7 | n=24 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 24-21 | 53%from 52% | -0.6 | n=45 |
| + in October | 10-6 | 63%from 53% | +1.0 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 63% | +0.7 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 24-21 | 53%from 53% | -0.6 | n=45 |
| + in October | 10-6 | 63%from 53% | +1.0 | n=16 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 24-21 | 53%from 53% | -0.6 | n=45 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 5-6 | 45%from 53% | -4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 53% | -3.4 | n=19 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 24-21 | 53%from 53% | -0.6 | n=45 |
| + in October | 10-6 | 63%from 53% | +1.0 | n=16 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 5-6 | 45%from 53% | -4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 53% | -3.4 | n=19 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 5-6 | 45%from 53% | -4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 45% | -4.8 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-11 | 42%from 53% | -3.4 | n=19 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.