Temple at East Carolina—

ST Model East Carolina -14.3

Trends · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Temple — the basics

143 graded games since 2014

on the road	32-34	48%	-1.5	n=66
vs East Carolina	6-5	55%	+1.0	n=11
in a conference game	51-46	53%	-0.1	n=97
vs an FBS opponent	68-66	51%	-0.6	n=134
vs a G5 opponent	63-54	54%	+0.6	n=117
vs the American Athletic	51-46	53%	-0.1	n=97
in October	22-22	50%	-1.4	n=44
at this venue	2-3	40%	-1.9	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-3.2	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Temple — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 143 graded games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=143
Temple has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Temple — combinations

36 lean Temple · 131 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs East Carolina + in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
vs East Carolina + in a conference game	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ vs the American Athletic	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5
vs East Carolina + vs an FBS opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	6-5	55%from 55%	+1.0	n=11
+ in October	3-2	60%from 55%	+10.0	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 55%	-1.9	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

East Carolina — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

at home	33-38	46%	+0.8	n=71
vs Temple	5-6	45%	-1.0	n=11
in a conference game	41-50	45%	-0.8	n=91
vs an FBS opponent	63-66	49%	+0.1	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	54-62	47%	-0.2	n=116
vs the American Athletic	41-50	45%	-0.8	n=91
in October	20-21	49%	-1.3	n=41
at this venue	33-38	46%	+0.8	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	36-26	58%	+3.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

East Carolina — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +8.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=140
East Carolina has covered 2 straight	n=2

East Carolina — combinations

58 lean East Carolina · 121 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 49%	+1.8	n=16
at home + vs Temple	3-2	60%from 46%	+1.9	n=5
+ in a conference game	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.9	n=5
vs Temple + at this venue	3-2	60%from 45%	+1.9	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	32-25	56%from 49%	+2.5	n=57
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	30-24	56%from 47%	+2.8	n=54
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	21-18	54%from 45%	+1.5	n=39
vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons	21-18	54%from 45%	+1.5	n=39
at home + in the last 5 seasons	16-15	52%from 46%	+2.5	n=31
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	16-15	52%from 46%	+2.5	n=31
vs an FBS opponent + in October	20-21	49%from 49%	-1.3	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 49%	+1.8	n=16
+ at this venue	8-13	38%from 49%	-0.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 38%	+5.9	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.