How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
UAB — the basics
123 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 28-33 | 46% | -1.7 | n=61 |
| in a conference game | 44-34 | 56% | +1.7 | n=78 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 60-54 | 53% | +0.5 | n=114 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 60-47 | 56% | +1.1 | n=107 |
| vs the American Athletic | 12-14 | 46% | -0.1 | n=26 |
| in October | 19-18 | 51% | +1.4 | n=37 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 29-33 | 47% | -1.4 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
UAB — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 123 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game | n=123 |
UAB — combinations
15 lean UAB · 69 lean against
Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 56%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent | 44-34 | 56%from 56% | +1.7 | n=78 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 44-34 | 56%from 56% | +1.7 | n=78 |
| + in October | 19-15 | 56%from 56% | +2.5 | n=34 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-21 | 48%from 56% | -0.0 | n=40 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 10-14 | 42%from 56% | -0.9 | n=24 |
| + in October | 19-15 | 56%from 56% | +2.5 | n=34 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-11 | 35%from 56% | -3.2 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-21 | 48%from 56% | -0.0 | n=40 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 10-14 | 42%from 56% | -0.9 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-14 | 42%from 42% | -0.9 | n=24 |
| + in October | 3-6 | 33%from 42% | -3.9 | n=9 |
| in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent | 44-34 | 56%from 56% | +1.7 | n=78 |
| + in October | 19-15 | 56%from 56% | +2.5 | n=34 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-11 | 35%from 56% | -3.2 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-21 | 48%from 56% | -0.0 | n=40 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 10-14 | 42%from 56% | -0.9 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-14 | 42%from 42% | -0.9 | n=24 |
| + in October | 3-6 | 33%from 42% | -3.9 | n=9 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent | 55-43 | 56%from 53% | +1.4 | n=98 |
| + in October | 19-16 | 54%from 56% | +2.4 | n=35 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-11 | 35%from 54% | -3.2 | n=17 |
| + vs the American Athletic | 12-14 | 46%from 56% | -0.1 | n=26 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-14 | 44%from 46% | -0.5 | n=25 |
| + in October | 3-6 | 33%from 46% | -3.9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 22-26 | 46%from 56% | -1.2 | n=48 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.