UAB at North Texas

ST Model North Texas -20.9
Trends · 2026 week 13
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
UAB — the basics
123 graded games since 2014
on the road28-3346%-1.7n=61
vs North Texas6-275%+8.8n=8
in a conference game44-3456%+1.7n=78
vs an FBS opponent60-5453%+0.5n=114
vs a G5 opponent60-4756%+1.1n=107
vs the American Athletic12-1446%-0.1n=26
in November18-2047%+0.4n=38
in the last 5 seasons29-3347%-1.4n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
UAB — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -1.8 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 123 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per gamen=123
UAB — combinations
26 lean UAB · 70 lean against
Read this first. 106 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs North Texas + in a conference game6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
+ vs an FBS opponent6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
+ vs a G5 opponent6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
+ vs a G5 opponent6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
vs North Texas + vs an FBS opponent6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
+ vs a G5 opponent6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
vs North Texas + vs a G5 opponent6-275%from 75%+8.8n=8
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent44-3456%from 56%+1.7n=78
+ vs a G5 opponent44-3456%from 56%+1.7n=78
+ in November18-1456%from 56%+2.2n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons19-2148%from 56%-0.0n=40
+ vs the American Athletic10-1442%from 56%-0.9n=24
+ in November18-1456%from 56%+2.2n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons10-953%from 56%+1.8n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons19-2148%from 56%-0.0n=40
+ vs the American Athletic10-1442%from 56%-0.9n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1442%from 42%-0.9n=24
+ in November5-742%from 42%+1.3n=12
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent44-3456%from 56%+1.7n=78
+ in November18-1456%from 56%+2.2n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons10-953%from 56%+1.8n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons19-2148%from 56%-0.0n=40
+ vs the American Athletic10-1442%from 56%-0.9n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1442%from 42%-0.9n=24
+ in November5-742%from 42%+1.3n=12
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.