Navy at Army—

ST Model Navy -0.2

Trends · 2026 week 15

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Navy — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

at a neutral site	9-12	43%	-1.3	n=21
vs Army	2-9	18%	-3.1	n=11
out of conference	21-35	38%	-3.9	n=56
vs an FBS opponent	74-65	53%	+1.3	n=139
vs a G5 opponent	67-52	56%	+2.4	n=119
vs the American Athletic	57-34	63%	+4.5	n=91
in December	7-12	37%	-0.2	n=19
in the last 5 seasons	32-30	52%	+1.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Navy — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: +1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=146

Navy — combinations

11 lean Navy · 49 lean against

Read this first. 68 combinations shown. The best one here is 63%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + vs the American Athletic	57-34	63%from 53%	+4.5	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-16	62%from 63%	+4.3	n=42
+ in December	2-3	40%from 63%	-0.4	n=5
vs a G5 opponent + vs the American Athletic	57-34	63%from 56%	+4.5	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-16	62%from 63%	+4.3	n=42
+ in December	2-3	40%from 63%	-0.4	n=5
vs the American Athletic + in the last 5 seasons	26-16	62%from 63%	+4.3	n=42
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	64-48	57%from 53%	+2.5	n=112
+ vs the American Athletic	57-34	63%from 57%	+4.5	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-16	62%from 63%	+4.3	n=42
+ in December	2-3	40%from 63%	-0.4	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-21	57%from 57%	+2.5	n=49
+ in December	2-4	33%from 57%	-1.0	n=6
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	29-23	56%from 56%	+2.0	n=52
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	31-28	53%from 53%	+1.5	n=59
at a neutral site + in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 43%	+0.4	n=9
at a neutral site + vs an FBS opponent	9-12	43%from 43%	-1.3	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 43%	+0.4	n=9
+ in December	5-9	36%from 43%	-1.4	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 36%	+2.7	n=5
at a neutral site + out of conference	8-11	42%from 43%	-2.4	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 42%	-2.2	n=7
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-11	42%from 42%	-2.4	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 42%	-2.2	n=7
+ in December	4-8	33%from 42%	-3.2	n=12
+ in December	4-8	33%from 42%	-3.2	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Army — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at a neutral site	16-6	73%	+5.6	n=22
vs Navy	9-2	82%	+3.1	n=11
out of conference	60-60	50%	+0.5	n=120
vs an FBS opponent	63-61	51%	+1.0	n=124
vs a G5 opponent	57-52	52%	+1.4	n=109
vs the American Athletic	23-15	61%	+5.3	n=38
in December	15-5	75%	+6.1	n=20
in the last 5 seasons	34-28	55%	+2.0	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Army — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +2.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Army has covered 3 straight	n=3

Army — combinations

132 lean Army · 1 lean against

Read this first. 141 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Navy + out of conference	8-1	89%from 82%	+5.9	n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent	8-1	89%from 89%	+5.9	n=9
+ in December	8-1	89%from 89%	+5.9	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	7-1	88%from 89%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs the American Athletic	7-1	88%from 89%	+5.6	n=8
+ in December	8-1	89%from 89%	+5.9	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	7-1	88%from 89%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs the American Athletic	7-1	88%from 88%	+5.6	n=8
+ in December	7-1	88%from 88%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs the American Athletic	7-1	88%from 89%	+5.6	n=8
+ in December	7-1	88%from 88%	+5.6	n=8
vs the American Athletic + in December	10-2	83%from 61%	+8.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+3.2	n=6
at a neutral site + vs the American Athletic	9-2	82%from 73%	+8.0	n=11
+ in December	8-2	80%from 82%	+7.3	n=10
vs Navy + vs an FBS opponent	9-2	82%from 82%	+3.1	n=11
+ in December	9-2	82%from 82%	+3.1	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 82%	-1.4	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	8-2	80%from 82%	+2.6	n=10
+ vs the American Athletic	8-2	80%from 80%	+2.6	n=10
+ in December	8-2	80%from 80%	+2.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	-1.4	n=5
+ vs the American Athletic	8-2	80%from 82%	+2.6	n=10
+ in December	8-2	80%from 80%	+2.6	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	-1.4	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 82%	-1.4	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.