How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
San José State — the basics
122 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 26-33 | 44% | -2.7 | n=59 |
| as an underdog | 31-39 | 44% | -2.8 | n=70 |
| spread 21+ | 8-9 | 47% | -4.6 | n=17 |
| out of conference | 20-21 | 49% | -2.7 | n=41 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 51-64 | 44% | -2.9 | n=115 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 11-11 | 50% | -2.0 | n=22 |
| in August | 4-2 | 67% | +1.5 | n=6 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 27-34 | 44% | -2.5 | n=61 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
San José State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -10.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 122 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game | n=122 |
| San José State has failed to cover 4 straight | n=4 |
San José State — combinations
35 lean San José State · 16 lean against
Read this first. 87 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 50% | +1.3 | n=10 |
| out of conference + in August | 4-2 | 67%from 49% | +1.5 | n=6 |
| out of conference + in the last 5 seasons | 13-9 | 59%from 49% | -0.2 | n=22 |
| on the road + spread 21+ | 5-4 | 56%from 44% | -3.6 | n=9 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | -3.6 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-3 | 50%from 56% | -5.3 | n=6 |
| + out of conference | 3-3 | 50%from 56% | -5.3 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-3 | 50%from 50% | -5.3 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-3 | 50%from 50% | -5.3 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-3 | 50%from 56% | -5.3 | n=6 |
| spread 21+ + in the last 5 seasons | 5-4 | 56%from 47% | -0.7 | n=9 |
| spread 21+ + out of conference | 6-5 | 55%from 47% | -2.5 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 55% | +3.4 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 3-4 | 43%from 55% | -7.4 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-4 | 43%from 43% | -7.4 | n=7 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 3-4 | 43%from 55% | -7.4 | n=7 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 9-8 | 53%from 44% | -1.3 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-1 | 86%from 53% | +6.1 | n=7 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 14-14 | 50%from 44% | -1.1 | n=28 |
| out of conference + vs a P5 opponent | 11-11 | 50%from 49% | -2.0 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 50% | +1.3 | n=10 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent | 11-11 | 50%from 44% | -2.0 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 50% | +1.3 | n=10 |
| on the road + out of conference | 10-10 | 50%from 44% | -3.1 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 50% | +3.3 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 9-8 | 53%from 50% | -1.3 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-1 | 86%from 53% | +6.1 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 10-10 | 50%from 50% | -3.1 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 50% | +3.3 | n=9 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 9-8 | 53%from 50% | -1.3 | n=17 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.